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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada PPI MoM fell to 0.2% in December 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2025
Canada PPI MoM fell to 0.2% in December 2024, released January 2025, down 0.4% from November's 0.6% reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.6% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. PPI MoM has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, PPI MoM averaged 0.9%, vs -0.47% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 60th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.2
Actual
0.6
Consensus
0.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.41 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jan 2025
Predicted: 0.9
Actual: 0.2
Error: +0.7
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| CAD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
PPI MoM (Canada) was reported at 0.2% in January 2025. This missed the market consensus of 0.6% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.6%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.67%, up from the prior three at -0.47%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD). A secondary relationship exists with CAD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish CAD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.41%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Current Account (May 28) and Financial Stability Report (May 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2025.
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PPI MoM - CA
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About PPI MoM — Canada
DEFINITION
PPI MoM stands for Producer Price Index Month-over-Month and is a key economic indicator used to measure the average change in prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into inflationary pressures in the economy and is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions. A higher PPI MoM indicates rising prices, while a lower PPI MoM suggests a decrease in prices, making it an essential tool for understanding the current state of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Dec 2024): actual 0.2 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (Oct 2024): 0.6 %. Before that (Oct 2024): 1.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.