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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Vehicle Sales MoM climbed to 176.5K in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Canada Vehicle Sales MoM climbed to 176.5K in April 2026, released May 2026, up 52.5K from March's 124K reading.
Latest Release
176.500000
Actual
—
Consensus
124.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Vehicle Sales MoM (Canada) was reported at 177 thousand in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 124 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 164 thousand, ranging from 114 thousand to 196 thousand across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 139 thousand, down from the prior three at 162 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include BoC Interest Rate Decision (Jun 10) and BoC Rate Statement (Jun 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Vehicle Sales MoM - CA
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About Vehicle Sales MoM — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada's Vehicle Sales MoM surged to 176.5K in April, up sharply from March's 124K, marking a strong rebound. This increase signals a robust recovery in auto demand after two months of decline. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for confirmation of sustained consumer strength. Updated 5/14/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 176.5 K. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 124 K. Before that (Jan 2026): 114.4 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Tuesday, June 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Balance of Trade | 2.72 | 1.75 | 2.6 | 1.94 | Medium |
| 12:30 | CA | Exports | 75.16 | 73.98 | 71 | 73.08 | Low |
| 12:30 | CA | Imports | 72.4 | 70.99 | 69.5 | 70.95 | Low |
| Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:45 | CA | BoC Interest Rate Decision | 2.25 | 2.25 | 2.25 | High | |
| Thursday, June 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | CA | Building Permits MoM | 10.3 | -3.5 | -3.50 | Low | |
| Friday, June 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | CA | Capacity Utilization | 78.5 | 78.6 | 78.65 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | New Motor Vehicle Sales | 176.5 | 130 | 142.20 | Low | |