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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Vehicle Sales MoM fell to 176.2K in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Canada Vehicle Sales MoM fell to 176.2K in August 2026, released September 2026, down 14K from July's 190.2K reading.
Latest Release
176.200000
Actual
—
Consensus
190.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/TSX Composite | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Vehicle Sales MoM (Canada) was reported at 176 thousand in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 190 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 158 thousand, ranging from 114 thousand to 184 thousand across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 179 thousand, up from the prior three at 131 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 24 thousand) is lower than the prior year (σ 30 thousand).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P/TSX Composite (Bearish S&P). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 15, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include BoC Gov Macklem Speech (Oct 14) and BoC Gov Macklem Speech (Oct 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Vehicle Sales MoM - CA
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About Vehicle Sales MoM — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada's Vehicle Sales MoM for August registered at 176.2K, down from July's 190.2K, marking a clear contraction in sales activity. This decline follows a peak in June at 183.9K, indicating a reversal after two months of growth. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data closely as the central bank maintains its current stance. Updated 9/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 176.2 K. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 183.9 K. Before that (May 2026): 176.5 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Wednesday, October 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Building Permits MoM | -17.3 | 2.9 | 2.90 | Low | |
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | CA | Capacity Utilization | 80.7 | 81 | 81.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | New Motor Vehicle Sales | 176.2 | 161 | 161.00 | Low | |