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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Vehicle Sales MoM fell to 174.6K in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Canada Vehicle Sales MoM fell to 174.6K in September 2026, released October 2026, down 1.6K from August's 176.2K reading.
Latest Release
174.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
176.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/TSX Composite | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Vehicle Sales MoM (Canada) was reported at 175 thousand in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 176 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 159 thousand, ranging from 114 thousand to 184 thousand across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 178 thousand, up from the prior three at 139 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 24 thousand) is lower than the prior year (σ 27 thousand).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P/TSX Composite (Bearish S&P).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Vehicle Sales MoM - CA
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About Vehicle Sales MoM — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada's Vehicle Sales MoM for October registered at 174.6K, missing the previous month's 176.2K. This marks a slight contraction from September's level, indicating a modest pullback in sales activity. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for further signals on consumer demand. Updated 10/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 174.6 K. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 176.2 K. Before that (Jun 2026): 183.9 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Average Weekly Earnings | 3.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.45 | Low |