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Canada BoC Senior Loan Officer Survey fell to 1 in April 2026, released May 2026, down 1.8 from March's 2.8 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| CAD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
BoC Senior Loan Officer Survey (Canada) was reported at 1.00 in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.80. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026.
The trailing three releases averaged 1.50, up from the prior three at 0.10.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD). A secondary relationship exists with CAD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish CAD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include New Housing Price Index MoM (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
The BoC Senior Loan Officer Survey is a key financial indicator that provides insights into the lending practices and credit conditions of Canadian banks. Conducted by the Bank of Canada, this survey collects data from senior loan officers at major financial institutions to assess the current state of the credit market and potential risks to the economy. The results of this survey are closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses as it can offer valuable information on the overall health of the financial system and potential changes in lending standards.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 2.8. Before that (Nov 2025): 0.7.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Foreign Securities Purchases | 46.91 | 4.4 | 8.16 | 28.35 | Low | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | New Housing Price Index MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 11.4 | 14 | 14.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Raw Materials Prices YoY | 31.6 | 37 | 37.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Raw Materials Prices MoM | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | CFIB Business Barometer | 46.3 | 56.5 | 56.50 | Low | ||