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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Trade (% of GDP) fell to 63.51 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Canada Trade (% of GDP) fell to 63.51 Percent in December 2025, down 1.61 Percent from November's 65.12 Percent reading.
Latest Release
63.510505
Actual
—
Consensus
65.121499
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| CAD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (Canada) was reported at 63.51 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 65.12 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 65.07 Percent, up from the prior three at 63.57 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Trade (% of GDP) has averaged 65.07 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD). A secondary relationship exists with CAD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish CAD).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Trade (% of GDP) - CA
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About Trade (% of GDP) — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada's Trade (% of GDP) for December 2025 registered at 63.510505%, down from December 2024's 65.121499%, indicating a contraction in trade activity as a share of GDP. This decline reflects a reduced trade intensity compared to the previous year. Market participants will monitor upcoming economic data for further insights into Canada's trade dynamics. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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