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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Central Government Debt (% of GDP) climbed to 64.13 Percent in December 2024
World BankYearlyReleased December 2024
Canada Central Government Debt (% of GDP) climbed to 64.13 Percent in December 2024, up 3.68 Percent from November's 60.46 Percent reading.
Latest Release
64.131423
Actual
—
Consensus
60.455396
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| CAD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| WTI Crude | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Central Government Debt (% of GDP) (Canada) was reported at 64.13 Percent in December 2024. The reading rose from the previous value of 60.46 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 61.51 Percent, down from the prior three at 65.57 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD). A secondary relationship exists with CAD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish CAD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Aug 4) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2024.
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Central Government Debt (% of GDP) - CA
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About Central Government Debt (% of GDP) — Canada
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CAD (Bullish CAD, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Balance of Trade | 4.24 | 3 | 5.34 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CA | Imports | 72.86 | 70.2 | 71.25 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Exports | 77.1 | 75 | 78.63 | Low | |
| 13:30 | CA | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53 | 50.2 | 50.20 | Medium | |
| Thursday, August 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:30 | CA | S&P Global Composite PMI | 47.9 | 49 | 49.95 | Low | |
| 13:30 | CA | S&P Global Services PMI | 47.1 | 48 | 48.80 | Low | |