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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada CFTC CAD speculative net positions fell to -94.1K in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Canada CFTC CAD speculative net positions fell to -94.1K in May 2026, released June 2026, down 25.2K from April's -68.9K reading.
Latest Release
-94.100000
Actual
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Consensus
-68.900000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC CAD speculative net positions (Canada) was reported at -94 thousand in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -69 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -68 thousand, ranging from -160 thousand to 36 thousand across 42 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -65 thousand, down from the prior three at -6 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 54 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 30 thousand). In June readings over the past 3 years, CFTC CAD speculative net positions has averaged -83 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include BoC Interest Rate Decision (Jun 10) and BoC Rate Statement (Jun 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CFTC CAD speculative net positions - CA
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About CFTC CAD speculative net positions — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada's CFTC CAD speculative net positions deepened to -94.100000K in June from -68.900000K in May, marking a significant increase in net short exposure. This shift indicates growing bearish sentiment on the Canadian dollar compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch for further positioning data amid ongoing economic developments. Updated 6/5/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -94.1 K. Prior reading (May 2026): -68.9 K. Before that (May 2026): -31.2 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.