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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada CFTC CAD speculative net positions climbed to -70.5K in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Canada CFTC CAD speculative net positions climbed to -70.5K in August 2026, released September 2026, up 37.6K from July's -108.1K reading.
Latest Release
-70.500000
Actual
—
Consensus
-108.100000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC CAD speculative net positions (Canada) was reported at -71 thousand in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -108 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -83 thousand, ranging from -179 thousand to 36 thousand across 38 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -100 thousand, up from the prior three at -170 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 68 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 30 thousand). In September readings over the past 3 years, CFTC CAD speculative net positions has averaged -103 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Housing Starts (Sep 16) and New Housing Price Index MoM (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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CFTC CAD speculative net positions - CA
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About CFTC CAD speculative net positions — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada’s CFTC CAD speculative net positions improved to -70.500K in the week ending September 11, 2026, up from -108.100K the previous week. This marks a significant reduction in net short positions from September 4 to September 11, indicating a notable shift in speculative sentiment. Market participants will watch for further positioning changes amid ongoing currency volatility. Updated 9/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -70.5 K. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -108.1 K. Before that (Aug 2026): -121.5 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.15 | Low |
| 12:30 | CA | Common CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.65 | High |
| 12:30 | CA | Median CPI YoY | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | High |
| 12:30 | CA | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium |
| 12:30 | CA | Trimmed CPI YoY | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.90 | High |
| 12:30 | CA | Capacity Utilization | 80.7 | 82.2 | 82.4 | 81.55 | Low |
| 12:30 | CA | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | High |
| 12:30 | CA | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.35 | Medium |
| 12:30 | CA | CPI YoY | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Low |
| 12:30 | CA | Manufacturing Sales MoM | -0.4 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.32 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | CA | New Motor Vehicle Sales | 190.2 | 190.1 | 190.10 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Wholesale Sales MoM | -0.6 | 2.8 | -0.6 | -0.47 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:15 | CA | Housing Starts | 229.1 | 237.5 | 240.65 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CA | Building Permits MoM | 18.5 | -5.8 | -5.80 | Low | |