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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada CFTC CAD speculative net positions climbed to -108.1K in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Canada CFTC CAD speculative net positions climbed to -108.1K in August 2026, released September 2026, up 13.4K from July's -121.5K reading.
Latest Release
-108.100000
Actual
—
Consensus
-121.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC CAD speculative net positions (Canada) was reported at -71 thousand in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -108 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -84 thousand, ranging from -179 thousand to 36 thousand across 38 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -129 thousand, up from the prior three at -176 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 68 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 31 thousand). In September readings over the past 3 years, CFTC CAD speculative net positions has averaged -110 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Sep 14) and Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 14).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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CFTC CAD speculative net positions - CA
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About CFTC CAD speculative net positions — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada's CFTC CAD speculative net positions improved to -108.100K in August from July's -121.500K, narrowing the net short exposure. This marks a reduction in bearish positioning after several months of deeper shorts, signaling a shift in speculative sentiment. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation amid steady central bank policy. Updated 9/4/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -70.5 K. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -108.1 K. Before that (Aug 2026): -121.5 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Common CPI YoY | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Median CPI YoY | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0 | 0.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CA | Trimmed CPI YoY | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Capacity Utilization | 82.3 | 82.4 | 82.40 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | High | |
| 12:30 | CA | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CA | Manufacturing Sales MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.27 | Low |