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Canada 30-Year Bond Auction fell to 3.79 in February 2026, released March 2026, down 0.09 from January's 3.88 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| CAD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Bearish CAD | → View |
| AUD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
30-Year Bond Auction (Canada) was reported at 3.9% in April 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.79%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.70, down from the prior three at 3.77.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with CAD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish CAD).
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include New Housing Price Index MoM (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
The 30-Year Bond Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for long-term government bonds. It is a regular event where the government sells bonds with a maturity of 30 years to investors, such as banks, pension funds, and individuals. The auction results provide insight into the current market sentiment and can impact interest rates and the overall economy. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the confidence in the government's ability to repay its debt and the overall health of the bond market.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3.898 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 3.793 %. Before that (Nov 2025): 3.683 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.62) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:15 | Housing Starts | 261.4 | 278.4 | 255.1 | 258.25 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Wholesale Sales MoM | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Manufacturing Sales MoM | 4.2 | 3 | 4.5 | 4.35 | Low | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Foreign Securities Purchases | 46.91 | 4.4 | 8.16 | 28.35 | Low | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | New Housing Price Index MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | ||