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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada 30-Year Bond Auction climbed to 4.25% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Canada 30-Year Bond Auction climbed to 4.25% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.05% from August's 4.2% reading.
Latest Release
4.249000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.201000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.68 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P/TSX Composite | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
30-Year Bond Auction (Canada) was reported at 4.25% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.95%, ranging from 3.68% to 4.25% across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 4.14%, up from the prior three at 3.75%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.21%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.22%). In October readings over the past 3 years, 30-Year Bond Auction has averaged 3.75%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P/TSX Composite, positively correlated (Bullish S&P).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product MoM (Oct 30) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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30-Year Bond Auction - CA
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About 30-Year Bond Auction — Canada
DEFINITION
The 30-Year Bond Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for long-term government bonds. It is a regular event where the government sells bonds with a maturity of 30 years to investors, such as banks, pension funds, and individuals. The auction results provide insight into the current market sentiment and can impact interest rates and the overall economy. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the confidence in the government's ability to repay its debt and the overall health of the bond market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 4.249 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 4.201 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 3.968 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.68) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Average Weekly Earnings | 3.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.45 | Low |