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Canada Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI climbed to 48.95 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.37 from April's 47.58 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| AUD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Bearish AUD | → View |
| CAD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish CAD | → View |
| S&P/TSX Composite | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Bearish S&P | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Canada) was reported at 48.95 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 47.58. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 48.01, ranging from 46.43 to 49.37 across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 48.63, up from the prior three at 47.72.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/CAD, negatively correlated (Bearish AUD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include New Housing Price Index MoM (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Canada's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI rose to 48.95 in June from May's 47.58, marking a clear upward trend. The index remains below the 50 threshold, indicating continued contraction despite the improvement. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for further signs of stabilization. Updated 6/10/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 48.95. Prior reading (May 2026): 47.58. Before that (Apr 2026): 45.59.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.44) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | Foreign Securities Purchases | 46.91 | 4.4 | 8.16 | 28.35 | Low | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | New Housing Price Index MoM | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 11.4 | 14 | 14.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Raw Materials Prices YoY | 31.6 | 37 | 37.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Raw Materials Prices MoM | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.80 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | CFIB Business Barometer | 46.3 | 56.5 | 56.50 | Low | ||