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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 48.19 in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Canada Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 48.19 in July 2026, released August 2026, down 1.23 from June's 49.42 reading.
Latest Release
48.190000
Actual
—
Consensus
49.420000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| S&P/TSX Composite | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Canada) was reported at 47.35 in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 48.19. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 48.05, ranging from 46.43 to 49.37 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 48.24, down from the prior three at 48.70. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.88) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.40).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Sep 14) and Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 14).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI - CA
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About Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for September registered 47.35, down from August's 48.19, indicating a continued contraction below the 50 threshold. The index has declined for the second consecutive month, reflecting weakening sentiment compared to July's 48.95. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for further clarity on the trajectory of Canadian consumer confidence. Updated 9/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 47.35. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 48.19. Before that (Jun 2026): 48.95.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.56) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CA Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | CA | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Common CPI YoY | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Median CPI YoY | 2 | 2 | 2.00 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CA | Trimmed CPI YoY | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.90 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Capacity Utilization | 82.3 | 82.4 | 82.40 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CA | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.30 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | CA | Manufacturing Sales MoM | -0.2 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.27 | Low |