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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Interest Rate climbed to 9.14% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Brazil Interest Rate climbed to 9.14% in June 2026, up 0.01% from May's 9.13% reading.
Latest Release
9.140000
Actual
—
Consensus
9.130000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Interest Rate (Brazil) was reported at 9.14% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 9.13%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Sep 16) and CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Sep 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Interest Rate - BR
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About Interest Rate — Brazil
DEFINITION
Interest rate is a financial indicator that measures the cost of borrowing money or the return on lending money. It is expressed as a percentage and is used to determine the cost of loans, mortgages, and other financial products. Interest rates are influenced by various economic factors and can have a significant impact on the overall economy, as well as individual consumers and businesses. They are closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and financial institutions to make informed decisions about investments and monetary policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Policy-rate decisions and associated communication are the primary near-term driver of front-end rates, currencies, and equity-discount-rate inputs. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 9.14 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 9.13 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | -0.8 | 0.3 | -0.2 | -0.50 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 1.2 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.70 | Low |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-10 Inflation Index MoM | 1.5 | -0.5 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.15 | Low |
| 21:30 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 14 | 13.75 | 13.75 | Medium | |