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Data from Reserve Bank of Australia. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia RBA Rural Commodity Price Index held to 139.47 in August 2026
Reserve Bank of AustraliaMonthlyReleased August 2026
Australia RBA Rural Commodity Price Index held to 139.47 in August 2026.
Latest Release
139.467419
Actual
—
Consensus
139.467419
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
RBA Rural Commodity Price Index (Australia) was reported at 139.47 (index) in August 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 124.67 (index), ranging from 112.01 (index) to 139.47 (index) across 12 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 138.40 (index), up from the prior three at 127.71 (index). Volatility over the past year (σ 9.57 (index)) is higher than the prior year (σ 4.93 (index)). In August readings over the past 3 years, RBA Rural Commodity Price Index has averaged 117.60 (index).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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RBA Rural Commodity Price Index - AU
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About RBA Rural Commodity Price Index — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia's RBA Rural Commodity Price Index rose to 139.467419 in August, slightly above July's 139.072891, indicating a modest increase in rural commodity prices. The index has shown steady growth since May's 131.490787, reflecting ongoing strength in the sector. Market participants will watch for further data to assess commodity price momentum amid central bank policy considerations. Updated 9/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 139.5 Index. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 139.1 Index. Before that (Jun 2026): 136.6 Index.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |