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Data from Reserve Bank of Australia. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia RBA Rural Commodity Price Index held to 143.05 in September 2026
Reserve Bank of AustraliaMonthlyReleased September 2026
Australia RBA Rural Commodity Price Index held to 143.05 in September 2026.
Latest Release
143.049798
Actual
—
Consensus
143.049798
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/NZD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
RBA Rural Commodity Price Index (Australia) was reported at 143.05 (index) in September 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 126.88 (index), ranging from 112.01 (index) to 143.05 (index) across 12 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 140.54 (index), up from the prior three at 131.05 (index). Volatility over the past year (σ 10.46 (index)) is higher than the prior year (σ 6.37 (index)). In September readings over the past 3 years, RBA Rural Commodity Price Index has averaged 120.64 (index).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/NZD (Bearish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Building Permits MoM (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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RBA Rural Commodity Price Index - AU
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About RBA Rural Commodity Price Index — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia’s RBA Rural Commodity Price Index rose to 143.049798 in September, up from August’s 139.498001, marking a continued increase in rural commodity prices. The index climbed steadily from July’s 139.072891 through August and September, reflecting ongoing price strength. Market participants will watch for further data to gauge commodity-driven inflation pressures. Updated 10/2/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 143 Index. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 139.5 Index. Before that (Jul 2026): 139.1 Index.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | AU | Import Prices QoQ | -1.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.10 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Export Prices QoQ | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.35 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit YoY | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.32 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Housing Credit MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.57 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index QoQ | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 4.55 | Low |