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Data from Reserve Bank of Australia. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM climbed to 0.5% in July 2026
Reserve Bank of AustraliaMonthlyReleased August 2026
Australia RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM climbed to 0.5% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.2% from June's 0.3% reading. The print came in hotter than the 0.3% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.33%.
Latest Release
0.5
Actual
0.3
Consensus
0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.11 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.3
Actual: 0.5
Error: -0.2
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM (Australia) was reported at 0.5% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.3% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Westpac Consumer Confidence Change (Sep 8) and Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (Sep 8).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM - AU
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About RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia's RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM rose 0.500000% in August, beating the 0.300000% estimate. This marks an acceleration from July's 0.300000%, indicating stronger inflationary pressure. The higher reading may influence the Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy stance ahead of upcoming economic data. Updated 8/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 0.5 %, consensus 0.3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 0.3 %. Before that (May 2026): 0.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Monday, September 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | AU | ANZ Job Advertisements MoM | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 1.50 | Low |
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Index | 88.9 | 85.7 | 85.00 | Medium | |
| 00:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Change | 6 | -3.6 | -4.45 | High | |
| 01:30 | AU | Private House Approvals MoM | 0.4 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | Building Permits YoY | 8.9 | 10 | 10.00 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | Building Permits MoM | 7.2 | -3.6 | -3.60 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | NAB Business Confidence | -6 | -8 | -4.00 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Change | 6 | -3.6 | -4.45 | High | |
| 00:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Index | 88.9 | 85.7 | 85.00 | Medium | |
| 01:30 | AU | NAB Business Confidence | -6 | -8 | -4.00 | High | |
| Thursday, September 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | AU | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 4.9 | 5.1 | 4.60 | Low | |