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Australia RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM climbed to 0.3% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.1% from March's 0.2% reading. The reading matched expectations.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM (Australia) was reported at 0.3% in May 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.3% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The next release is scheduled for June 24, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Company Gross Profits QoQ (Jun 2) and Building Permits MoM (Jun 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
Australia's RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM rose 0.300000% in April, matching consensus exactly. This marks an increase from March's 0.200000%, indicating a faster inflation pace month-over-month. Market pricing and central bank stance will closely watch upcoming data for further inflation trends. Updated 5/29/26
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.3 %, consensus 0.3 %.
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| Sunday, May 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.7 | 51.3 | 50.2 | 50.45 | Low | |
| Monday, June 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM | -0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.28 | Low | |
| 01:30 | ANZ Job Advertisements MoM | 1.8 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 0.70 | Low | |
| Tuesday, June 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.28 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Private House Approvals MoM | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Current Account | -21.1 | -22.8 | -24.60 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Building Permits YoY | 9 | 12.9 | 12.90 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Company Gross Profits QoQ | 5.8 | 0.5 | 2.50 | Medium | ||
| 01:30 | Business Inventories QoQ | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.20 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Building Permits MoM | -10.5 | -1.5 | -1.50 | Medium | ||
| 01:30 | Net Exports Contribution to GDP | -0.1 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 23:00 | Ai Group Manufacturing Index | -27.9 | -24 | -22.30 | Low | ||
| 23:00 | Ai Group Industry Index | -24.4 | -24 | -18.75 | Medium | ||
| 23:00 | Ai Group Construction Index | -19.3 | -20 | -25.60 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, June 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 01:30 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Medium | ||
| 01:30 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Medium | ||
| 01:30 | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.90 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, June 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | Balance of Trade | -1.841 | -1.61 | -1.61 | High | ||