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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 48.5 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Australia Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 48.5 in August 2026, released September 2026, down 0.29 from July's 48.79 reading.
Latest Release
48.500000
Actual
—
Consensus
48.790000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Australia) was reported at 48.50 in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 48.79. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 50.29, ranging from 46.95 to 53.89 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 48.49, down from the prior three at 48.64. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.16) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.98).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI - AU
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About Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia’s Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for September registered 48.500000, down from August’s 48.79, indicating a slight contraction in consumer sentiment. The index remains below the 50 threshold, signaling ongoing cautiousness among consumers compared to July’s 48.18. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for further clarity on consumer trends amid persistent uncertainty. Updated 9/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 48.5. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 48.79. Before that (Jul 2026): 48.18.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.44) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |