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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 45.62 in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Australia Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 45.62 in September 2026, released October 2026, down 2.88 from August's 48.5 reading.
Latest Release
45.620000
Actual
—
Consensus
48.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Australia) was reported at 45.62 in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 48.50. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 49.73, ranging from 45.62 to 53.89 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 47.64, down from the prior three at 47.83. Volatility over the past year (σ 2.48) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.86).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Building Permits MoM (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI - AU
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About Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 45.620000 in October from September's 48.500000, signaling a contraction in consumer sentiment. The index dropped below the 50 threshold, indicating weakening confidence compared to the prior month. Market participants will watch for further data to assess the impact on monetary policy and economic outlook. Updated 10/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 45.62. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 48.5. Before that (Aug 2026): 48.79.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.44) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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