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Australia Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI climbed to 48.35 in April 2026, released May 2026, up 2.31 from March's 46.04 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Australia) was reported at 48.35 in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 46.04. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.86, ranging from 48.35 to 53.89 across 9 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 50.48, down from the prior three at 52.50.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
The next release is scheduled for June 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Jun 12) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
Australia's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI rose to 48.35 in May from April's 46.04, marking a modest improvement but remaining below the 50 threshold that signals expansion. The index shows continued contraction in consumer sentiment, though the upward move suggests easing pessimism. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data for clearer direction amid persistent caution. Updated 5/15/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 48.35. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 46.04. Before that (Mar 2026): 50.63.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.51) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Private House Approvals MoM | -1 | 0.5 | -1 | -1.00 | Low | |
| 01:30 | Building Permits YoY | 10.2 | 9.3 | 10.2 | 10.20 | Low | |
| 01:30 | Building Permits MoM | -3.4 | -10.5 | -3.4 | -3.40 | Low | |
| Thursday, June 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.5 | 5.6 | 6.5 | 6.00 | Low | |
| Friday, June 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.6 | 6.5 | 6.00 | Low | ||