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Australia GDP Capital Expenditure fell to 0.7% in December 2025, released March 2026, down 2.5% from November's 3.2% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
GDP Capital Expenditure (Australia) was reported at 0.7% in March 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026.
The trailing three releases averaged 0.97%, up from the prior three at -1.07%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16) and RBA Rate Statement (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
GDP Capital Expenditure is a key financial indicator that measures the total amount of money spent by businesses and governments on acquiring or upgrading physical assets such as buildings, equipment, and infrastructure. It is an important measure of economic growth and productivity, as it reflects the level of investment in long-term assets that contribute to future economic output. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it provides insights into the health and potential of a country's economy.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual 0.7 %. Prior reading (Jul 2025): 3 %. Before that (Apr 2025): -0.8 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | Interest Rate Decision | 4.35 | 4.35 | 4.35 | High | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | -0.1 | -0.25 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | Participation Rate | 66.7 | 66.7 | 66.80 | Low | ||