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Australia Leading Index MoM climbed to 0.0% in May 2026, up 0.1% from April's -0.1% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Bearish S&P | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Leading Index MoM (Australia) was reported at 0% in May 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.01%, ranging from -0.1% to 0.1% across 14 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged -0.07%, unchanged from the prior three.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P/ASX 200 (Bearish S&P).
The next release is scheduled for June 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Jun 12) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
The Leading Index MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key financial indicator that measures the changes in economic activity and predicts future trends. It is calculated by analyzing a variety of economic data, such as stock prices, consumer confidence, and housing starts, to provide insight into the direction of the economy. This indicator is widely used by investors, businesses, and policymakers to make informed decisions and anticipate potential shifts in the market. A positive change in the Leading Index MoM suggests a growing economy, while a negative change may indicate a potential economic downturn. Overall, the Leading Index MoM is a valuable tool for monitoring and forecasting economic conditions.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P/ASX 200 (Bearish S&P, r=-0.41) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | Private House Approvals MoM | -1 | 0.5 | -1 | -1.00 | Low | |
| 01:30 | Building Permits YoY | 10.2 | 9.3 | 10.2 | 10.20 | Low | |
| 01:30 | Building Permits MoM | -3.4 | -10.5 | -3.4 | -3.40 | Low | |
| Thursday, June 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.5 | 5.6 | 6.5 | 6.00 | Low | |
| Friday, June 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 5.6 | 6.5 | 6.00 | Low | ||