Loading page content
Data from Australian Bureau of Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia CPI fell to 102.09% in May 2026
Australian Bureau of StatisticsMonthlyReleased June 2026
Australia CPI fell to 102.09% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.71% from April's 102.8% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 84.02%. Over the past 3 months, CPI averaged 102.62%, vs 27.2% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
102.09
Actual
102.5
Consensus
102.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.18 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 102.3
Actual: 102.09
Error: +0.21
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.78 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.53 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI (Australia) was reported at 102.09% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 102.5% by 0.41%. The reading fell from the previous value of 102.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 45.3%, ranging from 0.3% to 102.8% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 102.07%, up from the prior three at 2.5%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.18%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
SHARE
CPI - AU
Loading chart data...
About CPI — Australia
DEFINITION
CPI, or Consumer Price Index, is a widely used economic indicator that measures the average change in prices of goods and services purchased by households. It is an important tool for assessing inflation and the overall cost of living for consumers. The CPI is calculated by tracking the prices of a basket of goods and services over time, providing valuable insights into the current state of the economy and its impact on consumers. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions about economic trends and financial strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 102.1 %, consensus 102.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 102.8 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 102.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/JPY (Bearish USD, r=-0.78) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP