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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia GDP Chain Price Index QoQ fell to -0.6% in Q2 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased September 2026
Australia GDP Chain Price Index QoQ fell to -0.6% in Q2 2026, released September 2026, down 1.5% from May's 0.9% reading.
Latest Release
-0.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.900000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP Chain Price Index QoQ (Australia) was reported at -0.6% in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.53%, up from the prior three at 0.27%. In September readings over the past 3 years, GDP Chain Price Index QoQ has averaged -0.67%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Ai Group Industry Index (Oct 6) and Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (Oct 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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GDP Chain Price Index QoQ - AU
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About GDP Chain Price Index QoQ — Australia
DEFINITION
The GDP Chain Price Index QoQ is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the overall price level of goods and services produced in a country over a specific quarter, compared to the previous quarter. It provides valuable insights into the inflationary pressures within an economy and is used by policymakers and investors to assess the health of a country's economy. A positive change in the index indicates an increase in prices, while a negative change suggests a decrease. This indicator is an essential tool for monitoring and forecasting economic trends and making informed financial decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -0.6 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 0.8 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 1.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Monday, October 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | TD-MI Inflation Gauge MoM | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.40 | Low |
| 23:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Index | 80.4 | 84.4 | 83.4 | 81.90 | Medium |
| 23:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Change | -4.7 | -5.2 | -1.2 | -2.95 | High |
| Tuesday, October 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | ANZ Job Advertisements MoM | 2.2 | 2.6 | -1.3 | 0.45 | Low |
| 22:00 | AU | Ai Group Construction Index | -6.9 | -7 | -7.00 | Low | |
| 22:00 | AU | Ai Group Industry Index | -3.5 | -4 | -4.00 | Medium | |
| 22:00 | AU | Ai Group Manufacturing Index | -16.6 | -16 | -16.00 | Low | |
| Wednesday, October 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Building Permits YoY | 9 | 17.7 | 17.70 | Low | |
| 00:30 | AU | Building Permits MoM | -3.6 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low | |
| Thursday, October 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | AU | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 4.9 | 5 | 5.00 | Low | |