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Australia NAB Business Survey held to 3 in May 2026, released June 2026.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | INDEX | Bullish S&P | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
NAB Business Survey (Australia) was reported at 3.00 in June 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 6.75, ranging from 3.00 to 9.00 across 12 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 4.33, down from the prior three at 7.67.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with S&P/ASX 200, positively correlated (Bullish S&P).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16) and RBA Rate Statement (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The NAB Business Survey is a widely recognized financial indicator that provides valuable insights into the current state and future outlook of the business sector in Australia. It is based on a comprehensive survey of businesses across various industries, providing key data on business conditions, confidence levels, and investment intentions. This indicator is highly regarded by economists, policymakers, and investors as a reliable source of information for assessing the overall health of the Australian economy.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 3. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 3. Before that (Mar 2026): 6.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.63) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | Interest Rate Decision | 4.35 | 4.35 | 4.35 | High | ||
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | -0.1 | -0.25 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | Participation Rate | 66.7 | 66.7 | 66.80 | Low | ||