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Data from Statistics Canada. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada Trimmed CPI YoY fell to 1.8% in June 2026
Statistics CanadaMonthlyReleased July 2026
Canada Trimmed CPI YoY fell to 1.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.2% from May's 2.0% reading. The print came in cooler than the 2.0% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
2
Consensus
2
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trimmed CPI YoY (Canada) was reported at 1.8% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Trimmed CPI YoY - CA
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About Trimmed CPI YoY — Canada
DEFINITION
Canada's Trimmed CPI YoY came in at 1.800000%, missing the 2.000000% estimate for June. This marks a decline from May's 2.000000%, indicating a slowdown in inflationary pressures. Markets will watch for further data as the Bank of Canada maintains its current monetary policy stance. Updated 7/21/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 1.8 %, consensus 2 %.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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