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Data from Australian Bureau of Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Median CPI MoM climbed to 0.4% in July 2026
Australian Bureau of StatisticsMonthlyReleased August 2026
Australia Median CPI MoM climbed to 0.4% in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.1% from June's 0.3% reading. The print came in hotter than the 0.3% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.3%.
Latest Release
0.4
Actual
0.3
Consensus
0.3
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Median CPI MoM (Australia) was reported at 0.4% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.3% by 0.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Median CPI MoM - AU
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About Median CPI MoM — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia's Median CPI MoM rose to 0.400000% in August, beating the 0.300000% estimate. This marks an increase from July's 0.300000%, indicating accelerating inflation pressures. Markets will closely watch upcoming RBA commentary for signals on monetary policy adjustments. Updated 8/26/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 0.4 %, consensus 0.3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |