Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Auto Production MoM climbed to 6.8% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Brazil Auto Production MoM climbed to 6.8% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 3.7% from July's 3.1% reading. The print exceeded the -2.0% consensus by 8.8%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 5.43%. Over the past 3 months, Auto Production MoM averaged 3.3%, vs 9.05% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 65th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
6.8
Actual
-2
Consensus
3.1
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Auto Production MoM (Brazil) was reported at 6.8% in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of -2% by 8.8%. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.25%, ranging from -15.8% to 24.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.3%, down from the prior three at 5.9%. Volatility over the past year (σ 11.38%) is lower than the prior year (σ 13.27%).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 8, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Sep 11) and Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
Auto Production MoM - BR
Loading chart data...
About Auto Production MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Auto Production MoM rose 6.800000% in August, beating the -2.000000% estimate and improving from July's 3.100000%. This marks a clear acceleration in monthly output growth, signaling expanding activity in the automotive sector. Market participants will watch upcoming industrial data for confirmation of this positive momentum. Updated 9/8/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 6.8 %, consensus -2 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 6.8 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 3.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Friday, September 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | BR | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.4 | 0.07 | -0.29 | -0.30 | Medium |
| 12:00 | BR | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.24 | 4.44 | 4.27 | 4.28 | Medium |