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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Auto Production MoM climbed to 6.3% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Brazil Auto Production MoM climbed to 6.3% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 15.8% from April's -9.5% reading.
Latest Release
6.300000
Actual
—
Consensus
-9.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Auto Production MoM (Brazil) was reported at 6.3% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -9.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.28%, ranging from -15.8% to 24.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.9%, up from the prior three at -8.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17) and CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Auto Production MoM - BR
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About Auto Production MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Auto Production MoM rose 6.3% in May, reversing April's 9.5% decline. May's rebound follows a sharp contraction, signaling renewed manufacturing momentum. Market focus now shifts to upcoming industrial output data for further confirmation. Updated 6/12/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 6.3 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -9.5 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 27.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish USD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.