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Italy Industrial Orders MoM fell to 1.2 in January 2020, released March 2020, down 0.1 from December's 1.3 reading. The print exceeded the -0.2 consensus by 1.4. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.17. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Orders MoM averaged 0.55, vs 0.83 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 75th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
across last 12 releases
Mar 2020
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Bullish EU | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2020 reading fell from the previous value of 1.3. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±1.91. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR) and positively correlated with DAX (Bullish EU).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.15 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.65 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CPI YoY | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 08:00 | HICP YoY | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CPI MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.15 | Low | |
| 08:00 | HICP MoM | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.65 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | Balance of Trade | 4.944 | 5.2 | 5.97 | Medium | ||