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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
CanadaCanada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 52.9 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI fell to 52.9 in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.4 from April's 53.3 reading. The reading matched the 52 consensus.
Latest Release
52.900000
Actual
52.000000
Consensus
53.300000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.61
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 52.4
Actual: 52.9
Error: -0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Canada) was reported at 52.90 in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 52.00 by 0.90. The reading fell from the previous value of 53.30. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 49.30, ranging from 46.10 to 52.90 across 10 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 51.30, up from the prior three at 49.13. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.81) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.08). In June readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 49.43.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.61.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include New Housing Price Index MoM (Jun 17) and Retail Sales MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - CA
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — Canada
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 52.9, consensus 52. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 53.3. Before that (Mar 2026): 50.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.45) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.