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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Retail Sales QoQ climbed to 0.3% in Q3 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2025
Australia Retail Sales QoQ climbed to 0.3% in Q3 2025, up 0.2% from June's 0.1% reading.
Latest Release
0.300000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.100000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Retail Sales QoQ (Australia) was reported at 0.3% in July 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.1%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2025.
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Retail Sales QoQ - AU
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About Retail Sales QoQ — Australia
DEFINITION
Retail Sales QoQ (Quarter-over-Quarter) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the total value of goods and services sold by retail stores in a specific quarter compared to the previous quarter. This indicator is used to assess the overall health and performance of the retail sector and can provide valuable insights into consumer spending patterns and economic trends. A positive QoQ growth in retail sales indicates a strong demand for goods and services, while a negative growth may signal a slowdown in consumer spending. Retail Sales QoQ is a key metric for investors, businesses, and policymakers in making informed decisions and forecasting future economic conditions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2024): actual 1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |