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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Building Permits YoY fell to 10.3% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Australia Building Permits YoY fell to 10.3% in August 2026, released October 2026, down 0.6% from July's 10.9% reading. The reading matched the 10.3% consensus. Over the past 3 months, Building Permits YoY averaged 9.22%, vs 9.62% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
10.3
Actual
10.3
Consensus
10.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.44 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 10.88
Actual: 10.3
Error: +0.58
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Building Permits YoY (Australia) was reported at 10.3% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 10.3% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 10.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.01%, ranging from 5.3% to 14% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 9.87%, up from the prior three at 8.93%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, positively correlated (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.44%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Building Permits MoM (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Building Permits YoY - AU
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About Building Permits YoY — Australia
DEFINITION
Building Permits YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the number of permits issued for new construction projects. This data provides insight into the health of the construction industry and can be used to forecast future economic activity. A higher number of building permits indicates a growing economy, while a decline may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact various sectors of the economy, such as real estate, manufacturing, and employment.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 10.3 %, consensus 10.3 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 10.3 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.62) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | AU | Import Prices QoQ | -1.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.10 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Export Prices QoQ | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.35 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit YoY | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.32 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Housing Credit MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.57 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index QoQ | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 4.55 | Low |