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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Building Permits YoY fell to 9.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Australia Building Permits YoY fell to 9.0% in July 2026, released September 2026, down 0.5% from June's 9.5% reading. The reading matched the 9.0% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 5.83%. Over the past 3 months, Building Permits YoY averaged 8.02%, vs 11.07% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
9
Actual
9
Consensus
9.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.4 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 9.8
Actual: 9
Error: +0.8
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.59 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Building Permits YoY (Australia) was reported at 9% in September 2026. This matched the market consensus of 9% exactly. The reading fell from the previous value of 9.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 9.94%, ranging from 5.3% to 14% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 8.97%, up from the prior three at 8.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P/ASX 200 (Bullish S&P). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.4%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Building Permits YoY - AU
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About Building Permits YoY — Australia
DEFINITION
Building Permits YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the number of permits issued for new construction projects. This data provides insight into the health of the construction industry and can be used to forecast future economic activity. A higher number of building permits indicates a growing economy, while a decline may signal a slowdown. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact various sectors of the economy, such as real estate, manufacturing, and employment.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Housing data leads broader economic cycles by several months and is highly rate-sensitive, with knock-on effects to construction, materials, and consumer credit. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 9 %, consensus 9 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 9 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 8.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P/ASX 200 (Bullish S&P, r=0.60) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |