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Australia Business Confidence climbed to 2 in September 2025, released October 2025, up 2 from August's 0 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Business Confidence (Australia) was reported at 2.00 in October 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.00. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2025.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Construction Work Done QoQ (May 27) and Inflation Rate YoY (May 27).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2025.
Business Confidence is a financial indicator that measures the level of optimism or pessimism among business owners and managers about the current and future state of the economy. It is often used as a gauge of overall economic health and can impact investment decisions, hiring practices, and consumer spending. A high level of business confidence indicates a positive outlook and potential for growth, while a low level may signal caution and potential economic downturn. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors to assess the overall sentiment and potential direction of the business sector.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual 2. Prior reading (Jul 2025): -1. Before that (Apr 2025): -4.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, May 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | CPI YoY | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Construction Work Done QoQ | -0.1 | 0.8 | 0.20 | Medium | ||
| 01:30 | CPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.45 | Medium | ||
| 01:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.70 | Medium | ||
| 01:30 | CPI | 102.44 | 103.2 | 103.25 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | Capital Expenditure QoQ | -1.7 | 2 | 2.05 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Household Spending YoY | 6.3 | 5.5 | 5.50 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Household Spending MoM | 1.6 | -0.6 | -0.60 | Low | ||
| Friday, May 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | Housing Credit MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||
| 01:30 | Private Sector Credit YoY | 8.1 | 8 | 8.00 | Low | ||