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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia S&P Global Composite PMI Flash fell to 52 in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2026
Australia S&P Global Composite PMI Flash fell to 52 in January 2026, released February 2026, down 3.7 from December's 55.7 reading. The reading missed the 55.6 consensus by 3.6.
Latest Release
52.000000
Actual
55.600000
Consensus
55.700000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.55
across last 5 releases
Last Call
Feb 2026
Predicted: 55
Actual: 52
Error: +3
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| NZD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish NZD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash (Australia) was reported at 52.00 in January 2026. This missed the market consensus of 55.60 by 3.60. The reading fell from the previous value of 55.70.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 16) and RBA Rate Statement (Jun 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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S&P Global Composite PMI Flash - AU
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About S&P Global Composite PMI Flash — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia’s S&P Global Composite PMI Flash fell to 52.0 in January 2026, missing the consensus estimate of 55.6 and down sharply from December’s 55.7. The reading remains above the 50.0 expansion threshold but signals a notable loss of momentum driven by weaker services and manufacturing output. Market reaction was muted, with the AUD steady and investors awaiting upcoming inflation data and central bank commentary. Updated 2/19/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 52, consensus 55.6. Prior reading (Dec 2025): 51.1. Before that (Nov 2025): 52.6.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.