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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Exports MoM fell to -2.5% in April 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2024
Australia Exports MoM fell to -2.5% in April 2024, released June 2024, down 1.9% from March's -0.6% reading. The reading missed the 0.4% consensus by 2.9%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.12%. Over the past 3 months, Exports MoM averaged -1.05%, vs 1.7% in the prior 3-month window. Exports MoM is now the lowest in 11 months.
Latest Release
-2.5
Actual
0.4
Consensus
-0.6
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports MoM (Australia) was reported at 3.7% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -3.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.06%, ranging from -3.3% to 9.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.33%, down from the prior three at 3.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 4.28%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 4.6%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Exports MoM has averaged -1.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/JPY (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Building Permits MoM (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Exports MoM - AU
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About Exports MoM — Australia
DEFINITION
Exports MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in a country's total exports from one month to the next. It is used by economists and investors to track the performance of a country's international trade and can provide insights into the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports MoM indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and a stronger currency. Conversely, a negative change may suggest a decline in exports, which can have a negative impact on a country's economy. This indicator is often closely monitored by policymakers and businesses to make informed decisions about trade and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 3.7 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -3.3 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 9.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/JPY (Bullish AUD, r=0.71) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | AU | Import Prices QoQ | -1.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.10 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Export Prices QoQ | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.35 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit YoY | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.32 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Housing Credit MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.57 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index QoQ | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 4.55 | Low |