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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Exports MoM fell to -2.5% in April 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2024
Australia Exports MoM fell to -2.5% in April 2024, released June 2024, down 1.9% from March's -0.6% reading. The reading missed the 0.4% consensus by 2.9%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.12%. Over the past 3 months, Exports MoM averaged -1.05%, vs 1.7% in the prior 3-month window. Exports MoM is now the lowest in 11 months.
Latest Release
-2.5
Actual
0.4
Consensus
-0.6
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports MoM (Australia) was reported at -3.3% in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 9.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.91%, ranging from -7.8% to 9.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.5%, up from the prior three at 1.67%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.36%) is higher than the prior year (σ 3.74%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Exports MoM has averaged 0.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/JPY (Bullish AUD). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Exports MoM - AU
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About Exports MoM — Australia
DEFINITION
Exports MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in a country's total exports from one month to the next. It is used by economists and investors to track the performance of a country's international trade and can provide insights into the overall health of its economy. A positive change in Exports MoM indicates an increase in exports, which can lead to economic growth and a stronger currency. Conversely, a negative change may suggest a decline in exports, which can have a negative impact on a country's economy. This indicator is often closely monitored by policymakers and businesses to make informed decisions about trade and investment strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -3.3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 9.6 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 7.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/JPY (Bullish AUD, r=0.64) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |