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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia Imports MoM fell to -7.2% in April 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2024
Australia Imports MoM fell to -7.2% in April 2024, released June 2024, down 11.4% from March's 4.2% reading. The reading missed the 3.7% consensus by 10.9%. Imports MoM has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Imports MoM averaged 4.5%, vs -0.6% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 10th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-7.2
Actual
3.7
Consensus
4.2
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Imports MoM (Australia) was reported at -2.5% in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -0.7%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.14%, ranging from -3.2% to 3.2% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -0.63%, up from the prior three at -1.07%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.84%) is lower than the prior year (σ 2.47%). In September readings over the past 3 years, Imports MoM has averaged -1.53%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with AUD/NZD (Bearish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Sep 18) and RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Imports MoM - AU
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About Imports MoM — Australia
DEFINITION
Imports MoM is a financial indicator that measures the change in the value of goods and services imported into a country on a month-over-month basis. This indicator is used by economists and investors to track the level of international trade and assess the impact of imports on a country's economy. A positive change in Imports MoM indicates an increase in the demand for foreign goods, while a negative change may suggest a decrease in consumer spending and economic activity. This data can provide valuable insights into a country's trade balance and overall economic health.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -2.5 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -0.2 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |