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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 51.2 in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Australia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 51.2 in June 2026, up 0.5 from May's 50.7 reading.
Latest Release
51.200000
Actual
—
Consensus
50.700000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.29
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 49.97
Actual: 51.2
Error: -1.23
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▼ Inverse | −0.61 | INDEX | Bearish S&P | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.49 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Australia) was reported at 51.20 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 50.70. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.24, ranging from 49.70 to 53.00 across 17 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 51.03, up from the prior three at 50.03. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.93) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.53). In June readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 51.10.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P/ASX 200 (Bearish S&P). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/NZD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.29.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 24) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 24).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - AU
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — Australia
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 51.2. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 51.2. Before that (May 2026): 50.7.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P/ASX 200 (Bearish S&P, r=-0.61) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Monday, June 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00 | AU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.2 | 50.7 | 50 | 50.60 | Medium |
| 23:00 | AU | S&P Global Services PMI | 49.9 | 48.7 | 49 | 49.45 | Medium |
| 23:00 | AU | S&P Global Composite PMI | 49.8 | 48.7 | 49.1 | 49.45 | Low |
| Wednesday, June 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | AU | CPI YoY | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.55 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | CPI | 102.8 | 102.5 | 102.45 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Medium | |
| 01:30 | AU | Inflation Rate YoY | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.35 | Medium | |
| 01:30 | AU | RBA Trimmed Mean CPI YoY | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium | |
| 01:30 | AU | RBA Trimmed Mean CPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| Thursday, June 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | AU | Household Spending YoY | 4.9 | 4.1 | 4.10 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | Household Spending MoM | -1.1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | Participation Rate | 66.7 | 66.8 | 66.80 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | Employment Change | -18.6 | 25 | 25.00 | Medium | |
| 01:30 | AU | Unemployment Rate | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Medium | |