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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52 Points in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Australia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52 Points in July 2026, released August 2026, up 0.5 Points from June's 51.5 Points reading. The reading matched the 51.7 Points consensus.
Latest Release
52.000000
Actual
51.700000
Consensus
51.500000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.27
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 51.94
Actual: 52
Error: -0.06
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/NZD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Australia) was reported at 52.00 Points in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of 51.70 Points by 0.30 Points. The reading rose from the previous value of 51.50 Points. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.29 Points, ranging from 49.70 Points to 53.00 Points across 17 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 51.63 Points, up from the prior three at 50.70 Points. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.95 Points) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.48 Points). In August readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 52.63 Points.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P/ASX 200 (Bearish S&P). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/NZD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.27 Points.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 20, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NAB Business Confidence (Aug 11) and Interest Rate Decision (Aug 11).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - AU
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — Australia
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 52 Points, consensus 51.7 Points. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 51.7 Points. Before that (Jun 2026): 51.2 Points.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P/ASX 200 (Bearish S&P, r=-0.64) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Tuesday, August 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | AU | NAB Business Confidence | -5 | -6 | -2.00 | High | |
| 04:30 | AU | Interest Rate Decision | 4.35 | 4.35 | 4.35 | High | |