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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 49.7 Points in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Australia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 49.7 Points in September 2026, released October 2026, up 0.1 Points from August's 49.6 Points reading. The reading matched the 49.4 Points consensus.
Latest Release
49.700000
Actual
49.400000
Consensus
49.600000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.39
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 49.33
Actual: 49.7
Error: -0.37
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Australia) was reported at 49.70 Points in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 49.40 Points by 0.30 Points. The reading rose from the previous value of 49.60 Points. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 50.91 Points, ranging from 49.30 Points to 52.30 Points across 19 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 49.53 Points, down from the prior three at 52.00 Points. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.95 Points) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.65 Points).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with AUD/NZD (Bullish AUD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.39 Points.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 1, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Building Permits MoM (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - AU
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — Australia
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 49.7 Points, consensus 49.4 Points. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 49.6 Points. Before that (Sep 2026): 49.3 Points.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with AUD/NZD (Bullish AUD, r=0.44) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | AU | Import Prices QoQ | -1.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.10 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Export Prices QoQ | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.35 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit YoY | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.2 | 8.32 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Housing Credit MoM | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.43 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.57 | Low |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index QoQ | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 1.27 | Medium |
| 00:30 | AU | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3.6 | 4.5 | 4.55 | Low |