Loading page content
Loading page content
United Kingdom 28-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction climbed to 1.33% in January 2024, up 0.02% from December's 1.31% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish UK | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
28-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction (United Kingdom) was reported at 1.33% in January 2024. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.31%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Change (Jun 18) and Unemployment Rate (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2024.
The 28-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for long-term government bonds in the United Kingdom. These bonds are linked to the country's inflation rate, providing investors with a hedge against rising prices. The auction allows the government to raise funds for long-term projects while also providing a benchmark for interest rates and inflation expectations. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the overall sentiment towards the UK economy and its future inflation outlook.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jan 2024): actual 1.333 %. Prior reading (Nov 2023): 1.314 %. Before that (Sep 2023): 1.33 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output YoY | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input YoY | 8.7 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 8.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output MoM | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.1 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input MoM | 0.2 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3 | 2.90 | High | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3 | 2.90 | High | |
| 08:30 | House Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 0 | 2.8 | 3.30 | Low | |
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 148 | 75 | 119.00 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Claimant Count Change | 26.5 | 25.8 | 25.25 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.20 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | HMRC Payrolls Change | -100 | -80 | -72.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5 | 4.95 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.1 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 19 | 29 | 29.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 89 | 79 | 89.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | -1.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| 23:01 | Consumer Confidence | -23 | -24 | -24.00 | Medium | ||