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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom New Car Registrations YoY climbed to 7.2% in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
United Kingdom New Car Registrations YoY climbed to 7.2% in February 2026, released March 2026, up 3.8% from January's 3.4% reading.
Latest Release
7.200000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.400000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.38 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Registrations YoY (United Kingdom) was reported at 7.2% in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.76%, ranging from -5% to 13.7% across 15 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.67%, up from the prior three at 3.73%. Volatility over the past year (σ 5.27%) is lower than the prior year (σ 6.19%). In March readings over the past 3 years, New Car Registrations YoY has averaged 1.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with DAX (Bearish DAX). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Aug 19) and Inflation Rate YoY (Aug 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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New Car Registrations YoY - UK
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About New Car Registrations YoY — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
New Car Registrations YoY (Year over Year) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of new cars registered in a given period compared to the same period in the previous year. This data is often used by economists and investors to assess the health of the automotive industry and consumer spending habits. A higher YoY percentage indicates an increase in new car sales, while a lower percentage suggests a decline. This indicator can provide valuable insights into the overall economic growth and consumer confidence in a particular country or region.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 7.2 %. Prior reading (Feb 2026): 7.2 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 3.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with DAX (Bearish DAX, r=-0.41) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Tuesday, August 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -13 | -13 | 5 | -18.00 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.42 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Employment Change | 83 | 147 | 200 | 181.00 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.17 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 4.85 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | -11 | -6.4 | 11.2 | 5.45 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Labour Productivity QoQ | -0.8 | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.28 | Low |
| Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.05 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3.80 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3 | 3.3 | 3.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.70 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.40 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.80 | High | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | 7.3 | 6.6 | 7.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.95 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.45 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | -2 | 0 | 0.70 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.45 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | UK | CPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | High | |
| 08:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.95 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -45 | -40 | -40.50 | Medium | |