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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom 20-Year Treasury Gilt Auction fell to 5.16% in March 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2025
United Kingdom 20-Year Treasury Gilt Auction fell to 5.16% in March 2025, released April 2025, down 0.08% from February's 5.23% reading.
Latest Release
5.155000
Actual
—
Consensus
5.232000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
20-Year Treasury Gilt Auction (United Kingdom) was reported at 5.16% in April 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.23%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.07%, up from the prior three at 4.44%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Jul 31) and Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2025.
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20-Year Treasury Gilt Auction - UK
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About 20-Year Treasury Gilt Auction — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The 20-Year Treasury Gilt Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest rates for government-issued bonds with a maturity of 20 years. This auction provides valuable insights into the current state of the economy and investor sentiment, as well as serving as a benchmark for long-term interest rates. It is closely monitored by financial institutions and investors as it can impact the overall market and influence investment decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2025): actual 5.155 %. Prior reading (Mar 2025): 5.232 %. Before that (Nov 2024): 4.836 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 39 | 29 | 29 | 34.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 69 | 79 | 79 | 74.00 | Medium |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0 | 0.1 | 0.45 | Medium | |