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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom 15-Year Treasury Gilt Auction fell to 4.85% in May 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2025
United Kingdom 15-Year Treasury Gilt Auction fell to 4.85% in May 2025, released June 2025, down 0.07% from April's 4.92% reading.
Latest Release
4.850000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.917000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish UK | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
15-Year Treasury Gilt Auction (United Kingdom) was reported at 4.85% in June 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.92%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.87%, up from the prior three at 4.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2025.
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15-Year Treasury Gilt Auction - UK
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About 15-Year Treasury Gilt Auction — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The 15-Year Treasury Gilt Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest rates for government-issued bonds with a maturity of 15 years. This auction is conducted by the US Treasury Department and serves as a benchmark for long-term interest rates in the market. It provides valuable insights into the current economic climate and investor sentiment towards government debt. The results of this auction can impact the overall bond market and serve as an important indicator for investors and policymakers.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2025): actual 4.85 %. Prior reading (Apr 2025): 4.917 %. Before that (Feb 2025): 4.836 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.