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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom 3-Year Treasury Gilt Auction climbed to 4.06% in May 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2025
United Kingdom 3-Year Treasury Gilt Auction climbed to 4.06% in May 2025, released June 2025, up 0.23% from April's 3.83% reading.
Latest Release
4.062000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.834000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish UK | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
3-Year Treasury Gilt Auction (United Kingdom) was reported at 4.06% in June 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.83%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.84%, down from the prior three at 4.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Construction PMI (Jul 6) and Halifax House Price Index MoM (Jul 7).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2025.
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3-Year Treasury Gilt Auction - UK
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About 3-Year Treasury Gilt Auction — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The 3-Year Treasury Gilt Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest rates for government-issued securities with a maturity of three years. This auction is conducted by the Treasury Department to raise funds for the government and provides insight into the current economic climate and investor sentiment. The results of the auction can impact the overall bond market and serve as a benchmark for interest rates.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2025): actual 4.062 %. Prior reading (Apr 2025): 3.834 %. Before that (Apr 2025): 3.631 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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