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United Kingdom CB Leading Index held to -0.3% in August 2015, released September 2015.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
CB Leading Index (United Kingdom) was reported at -0.3% in September 2015. The reading was unchanged from the previous release.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug 20) and Consumer Confidence (Aug 20).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2015.
The CB Leading Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the overall economic health and potential future performance of a country's economy. It is based on a composite of various economic factors, such as stock prices, consumer expectations, and interest rates, and is used by investors and policymakers to make informed decisions about the direction of the economy. The CB Leading Index provides valuable insights into the current and future state of the economy, making it a crucial tool for assessing market trends and making strategic financial decisions.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2015): actual -0.3 %. Prior reading (Jun 2015): -0.2 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output YoY | 3.1 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.25 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input YoY | 4.9 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 5.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.70 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input MoM | -1.7 | -1.9 | 0 | -0.85 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Core CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | CPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | CPI YoY | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | |
| 08:30 | House Price Index YoY | 2 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.95 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -45 | -40 | -40.50 | Medium | ||
| 23:01 | Consumer Confidence | -17 | -18 | -15.50 | Medium | ||
| Friday, August 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 5.4 | 3.3 | 3.10 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.55 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -16 | 0 | -1.70 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.2 | 2.2 | 2.10 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | -0.5 | -0.85 | High | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.9 | 51.5 | 51.85 | High | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.1 | 51.8 | 49.90 | High | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.2 | 51.6 | 50.05 | Low | ||