Loading page content
Loading page content
United Kingdom Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 46.2 in June 2026, released July 2026, down 1.2 from May's 47.4 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.84 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.76 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.58 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (United Kingdom) was reported at 46.20 in July 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 47.40. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 47.72, ranging from 44.90 to 50.60 across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 46.17, down from the prior three at 48.07.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50).
The next release is scheduled for August 13, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Jul 31) and S&P Global Construction PMI (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
The UK’s Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for July registered an actual value of 46.2, down from June’s 47.4, indicating a continued contraction in consumer sentiment. This decline from June to July reflects persistent weakness in the index, remaining below the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction. Market participants will watch upcoming economic data closely as the Bank of England maintains a cautious stance amid subdued consumer confidence. Updated 7/11/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 46.2. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 47.4. Before that (May 2026): 44.9.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.84) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 39 | 29 | 29 | 34.00 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 69 | 79 | 79 | 74.00 | Medium | |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.07 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Medium | |