Loading page content
Loading page content
United Kingdom Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI climbed to 47.4 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 2.5 from April's 44.9 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.91 | INDEX | Bullish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.89 | INDEX | Bullish FTSE 100 | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.87 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.78 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (United Kingdom) was reported at 47.40 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 44.90. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 48.25, ranging from 44.90 to 52.10 across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 46.10, down from the prior three at 48.50.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). A secondary relationship exists with FTSE 100, positively correlated (Bullish FTSE 100).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The UK’s Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI rose to 47.400000 in June from May’s 44.900000, marking a notable improvement but remaining below the 50 threshold that signals expansion. This increase suggests a partial recovery in sentiment after a contractionary reading in May. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this trend amid ongoing economic uncertainties. Updated 6/11/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 47.4. Prior reading (May 2026): 44.9. Before that (Apr 2026): 43.3.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Euro STOXX 50 (Bullish Euro STOXX 50, r=0.91) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Output YoY | 4 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Input YoY | 7.7 | 8 | 8.00 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Output MoM | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index YoY | 3 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | PPI Input MoM | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 3 | 3.00 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 3 | 3.00 | High | ||
| 08:30 | House Price Index YoY | 0 | 2.8 | 2.80 | Low | ||
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 148 | 80 | 124.00 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Claimant Count Change | 26.5 | 25.8 | 25.25 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.20 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | HMRC Payrolls Change | -100 | -80 | -80.00 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5 | 4.95 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.1 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 19 | 29 | 29.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 89 | 79 | 79.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||