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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 45.3 in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
United Kingdom Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 45.3 in September 2026, released October 2026, down 3 from August's 48.3 reading.
Latest Release
45.300000
Actual
—
Consensus
48.300000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.71 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (United Kingdom) was reported at 45.30 in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 48.30. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 46.98, ranging from 44.90 to 49.20 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 46.90, up from the prior three at 46.17. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.37) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.68).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC GBP speculative net positions (Oct 30) and S&P Global Construction PMI (Nov 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI - UK
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About Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The UK’s Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 45.300000 in October from September’s 48.300000, marking a notable decline. This drop signals a contraction in consumer sentiment after three consecutive months above 46. The weaker reading may influence market expectations ahead of upcoming economic data and central bank commentary. Updated 10/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 45.3. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 48.3. Before that (Aug 2026): 47.1.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.71) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 | UK | Auto Production YoY | 38.6 | 6.1 | 5 | 21.80 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.914 | 2.683 | 2.2 | 2.06 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.20 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 53.44 | 54.81 | 54 | 53.72 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 3.87 | 4.17 | 4.2 | 4.04 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 5.8 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 6.00 | Low |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.08 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Inflation Rate | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.40 | High |