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United Kingdom 15-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction climbed to 1.05% in June 2024, released July 2024, up 0.0% from May's 1.05% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
15-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction (United Kingdom) was reported at 1.05% in July 2024. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.05%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug 20) and Consumer Confidence (Aug 20).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2024.
The 15-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest rates for government-issued bonds in the United Kingdom. These bonds have a maturity period of 15 years and their interest rates are linked to the country's inflation rate, providing investors with a hedge against inflation. The auction allows the government to raise funds for public spending while also providing investors with a safe and stable investment option. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and investors as it reflects the overall economic health and inflation expectations of the UK.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2024): actual 1.053 %. Prior reading (May 2024): 1.051 %. Before that (Feb 2024): 1.076 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output YoY | 3.1 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.25 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input YoY | 4.9 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 5.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.70 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input MoM | -1.7 | -1.9 | 0 | -0.85 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Core CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | CPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | CPI YoY | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | |
| 08:30 | House Price Index YoY | 2 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.95 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 23:01 | Consumer Confidence | -17 | -18 | -15.50 | Medium | ||
| Friday, August 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 5.4 | 3.3 | 3.10 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.55 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -16 | 0 | -1.70 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.2 | 2.2 | 2.10 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | -0.5 | -0.85 | High | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.9 | 51.5 | 51.85 | High | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Services PMI | 52.1 | 51.8 | 49.90 | High | ||
| 08:30 | S&P Global Composite PMI | 52.2 | 51.6 | 50.05 | Low | ||