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United Kingdom 50-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction climbed to 0.99% in April 2024, released May 2024, up 1.38% from March's -0.39% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
50-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction (United Kingdom) was reported at 0.99% in May 2024. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.39%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CBI Industrial Trends Orders (Aug 20) and Consumer Confidence (Aug 20).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2024.
The 50-Year Index-Linked Treasury Gilt Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and pricing of long-term government bonds in the United Kingdom. These bonds are linked to the country's inflation rate, providing investors with a hedge against rising prices. The auction is held every 6 months and serves as an important benchmark for the UK's economic stability and investor confidence. It is closely monitored by financial institutions and investors as a key indicator of the country's long-term borrowing costs.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2024): actual 0.994 %.
This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Tuesday, August 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | HMRC Payrolls Change | -13 | -13 | 5 | -4.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.45 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 83 | 147 | 200 | 141.50 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.10 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 4.85 | High | |
| 06:00 | Claimant Count Change | -11 | -6.4 | 11.2 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 08:30 | Labour Productivity QoQ | -0.8 | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.65 | Low | |
| Wednesday, August 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output YoY | 3.1 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3.48 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.2 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.13 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.63 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output MoM | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.30 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | High | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input YoY | 4.9 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 6.63 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.58 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input MoM | -1.7 | -1.9 | 0 | -0.08 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.55 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Core CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low | |
| 06:00 | CPI MoM | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | CPI YoY | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.88 | High | |
| 08:30 | House Price Index YoY | 2 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.95 | Low | |
| Thursday, August 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -45 | -40 | -40.50 | Medium | ||
| 23:01 | Consumer Confidence | -17 | -18 | -15.50 | Medium | ||
| Friday, August 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 5.4 | 3.3 | 3.10 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 1.1 | -0.5 | -0.55 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -16 | 0 | -1.70 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 4.2 | 2.2 | 2.10 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales MoM | 1 | -0.5 | -0.85 | High | ||