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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom CFTC United Kingdom Speculative net positions fell to 438 in December 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased January 2025
United Kingdom CFTC United Kingdom Speculative net positions fell to 438 in December 2024, released January 2025, down 14,068 from November's 14,506 reading.
Latest Release
438.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
14506.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish UK | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CFTC United Kingdom Speculative net positions (United Kingdom) was reported at 438.00 in January 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 14,506.00. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 16,403.33, down from the prior three at 27,091.67.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Construction PMI (Jul 6) and Halifax House Price Index MoM (Jul 7).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2025.
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CFTC United Kingdom Speculative net positions - UK
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About CFTC United Kingdom Speculative net positions — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The CFTC United Kingdom Speculative net positions is a financial indicator that tracks the net positions of speculative traders in the United Kingdom market. It provides valuable insights into the sentiment and behavior of these traders, which can impact market trends and prices. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can help identify potential market shifts and inform trading decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2025): actual 438. Prior reading (Dec 2024): 21,647. Before that (Dec 2024): 27,125.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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