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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction climbed to 4.28% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
United Kingdom 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction climbed to 4.28% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.01% from April's 4.28% reading.
Latest Release
4.284000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.277000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction (United Kingdom) was reported at 4.28% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.28%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.09%, ranging from 3.81% to 4.65% across 14 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.4%, up from the prior three at 4.01%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.21%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.2%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Nationwide Housing Prices YoY (Jul 31) and Nationwide Housing Prices MoM (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction - UK
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About 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the UK government borrows money by selling 5-year bonds to investors. This auction is closely monitored by financial institutions and investors as it reflects the government's borrowing costs and can impact the overall economy. A successful auction with low interest rates indicates confidence in the government's financial stability, while a high interest rate may signal potential economic concerns.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 4.284 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 4.277 %. Before that (May 2026): 4.651 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.76) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 39 | 29 | 29 | 34.00 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 69 | 79 | 79 | 74.00 | Medium |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0 | 0.1 | 0.45 | Medium | |