Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction fell to 4.28% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
United Kingdom 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction fell to 4.28% in May 2026, down 0.37% from April's 4.65% reading.
Latest Release
4.277000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.651000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction (United Kingdom) was reported at 4.28% in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.65%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.07%, ranging from 3.81% to 4.65% across 15 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 4.39%, up from the prior three at 3.93%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.2%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.21%). In May readings over the past 3 years, 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction has averaged 4.28%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
SHARE
5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction - UK
Loading chart data...
About 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the UK government borrows money by selling 5-year bonds to investors. This auction is closely monitored by financial institutions and investors as it reflects the government's borrowing costs and can impact the overall economy. A successful auction with low interest rates indicates confidence in the government's financial stability, while a high interest rate may signal potential economic concerns.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 4.277 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 4.651 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 4.228 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.76) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.