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Canada Unemployment (% of Labor Force) climbed to 6.91 Percent in December 2025, up 0.56 Percent from November's 6.35 Percent reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Unemployment (% of Labor Force) (Canada) was reported at 6.91 Percent in December 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 6.35 Percent. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. In December readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment (% of Labor Force) has averaged 6.22 Percent.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Retail Sales MoM (Jun 19) and New Housing Price Index MoM (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
Canada's Unemployment (% of Labor Force) rose to 6.907% in December 2025, up from 6.351% in December 2024, marking a clear increase in joblessness. This rise signals a weakening labor market compared to the previous year. Market participants will watch upcoming employment reports closely amid this deteriorating trend. Updated 5/1/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released annually.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | New Housing Price Index MoM | -0.3 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.00 | Medium | |
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 11.4 | 14 | 13.95 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Raw Materials Prices YoY | 31.6 | 37 | 37.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2 | 1.8 | 1.45 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Raw Materials Prices MoM | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.90 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | CFIB Business Barometer | 46.3 | 56.5 | 56.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 3.4 | 2.9 | 3.15 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | New Housing Price Index MoM | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.20 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| Monday, June 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.20 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | ||