United Kingdom Employment Change — Forecast | Sigmanomics
United Kingdom Employment Change
Latest Release
84
Actual
-4
Consensus
52
Previous
UK Employment Change rose by 84,000 in February 2026, beating the estimate of -4,000 and up from January’s 52,000. This marks a continued positive trend, though the figure remains below the 12-month average of 106,000 and last summer’s peak of 238,000. Sterling held steady with muted market reaction, reflecting confidence in the UK labour market’s resilience and no immediate shift in Bank of England policy. Updated 3/19/26
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Employment Change - UK
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UK employment change rose by 84,000 in February, up from 52,000 in January. The 12-month average stands at 106,000. Labour market momentum remains positive but below last summer’s peak.
UK Employment Change: February’s Uptick Signals Resilience
UK employment posted a stronger gain in February, with the latest data showing a net increase of 84,000 jobs. This marks a rebound from January’s 52,000 and outpaces the consensus estimate of a 4,000 decline. The figures, sourced from the Office for National Statistics and cross-verified with Sigmanomics, offer a nuanced view of the UK’s labour market trajectory.
Employment growth remains above the Bank of England’s neutral threshold, but well below the 238,000 surge seen in August 2025. The central bank has not signaled a shift in its labour market stance.
Market lens
Gilts saw muted movement after the release, with sterling holding steady against major peers. Investors interpreted the data as a sign of stability, not acceleration, in UK job creation. The modest beat versus expectations failed to spark a significant re-pricing of rate expectations.
Foundational Indicators
Drivers this month
Net employment change: 84,000 (Feb 2026)
Prior month: 52,000 (Jan 2026)
12-month average: 106,000
Peak in last 9 months: 238,000 (Aug 2025)
Lowest in last 9 months: -22,000 (Nov 2025)
Policy pulse
February’s reading is above the recent trough but remains below the mid-2025 highs. The Bank of England’s policy framework continues to monitor wage growth and participation rates alongside headline employment figures.
Market lens
FTSE 100 futures were little changed post-release. Market participants viewed the data as consistent with a soft-landing scenario, with no immediate implications for monetary policy.
Chart Dynamics
February’s employment change of 84,000 compares to January’s 52,000 and a 12-month average of 106,000. The current print marks the second consecutive monthly gain, following a period of volatility in late 2025.
August’s 238,000 surge remains the recent high, while November’s -22,000 was the low point. The latest data suggests the labour market is regaining momentum, though not at last summer’s pace.
Employment Change trend (June 2025 – February 2026)
What This Chart Tells Us: The UK’s employment trend has stabilized after sharp swings in late 2025. While February’s gain is solid, the pace is below the mid-2025 average. The data points to a resilient but moderating job market, with upside capped by softer hiring in cyclical sectors.
Base: Moderate growth between 40,000–90,000/month (50–60%)
Bearish: Return to negative prints or sub-20,000 growth (10–20%)
Policy pulse
With employment growth steady but not accelerating, the Bank of England is likely to maintain its current stance. Wage growth and participation will remain key watchpoints.
Market lens
Sterling’s muted response underscores market confidence in the UK’s labour market stability. Investors are balancing the upside from steady hiring against downside risks from global headwinds and sectoral slowdowns.
Closing Thoughts
Drivers this month
Services hiring offsetting cyclical softness
Manufacturing and construction contributed modestly
Public sector employment unchanged
Policy pulse
February’s figures reinforce the narrative of a resilient, if unspectacular, UK labour market. The Bank of England’s focus remains on broader indicators beyond headline job growth.
Market lens
Equity and bond markets showed little reaction, reflecting a consensus view of steady, not overheating, employment conditions. The data supports a cautiously optimistic outlook for the coming months.
Key Markets Reacting to Employment Change
UK employment data can move global markets, especially those with direct exposure to the British economy or currency. The following symbols, verified from Sigmanomics, are among those most sensitive to shifts in UK labour trends. Each reflects a different asset class, offering a cross-section of market responses to employment surprises.
AAPL: Often used as a global risk barometer, with indirect exposure to UK consumer demand.
EURUSD: Sensitive to GBP cross-currency flows after UK data releases.
BTCUSD: Crypto markets sometimes react to macro data as a proxy for risk appetite.
Month
Employment Change (K)
EURUSD Direction
Aug 2025
238
GBP strength, EURUSD lower
Nov 2025
-22
GBP weakness, EURUSD higher
Feb 2026
84
Flat
Since 2020, larger positive UK employment surprises have tended to support GBP and weigh on EURUSD, while negative prints have the opposite effect. The relationship is strongest when surprises are large relative to consensus.
FAQ
What is the latest UK Employment Change figure?
The most recent data shows UK employment increased by 84,000 in February 2026, up from 52,000 in January.
How does February’s employment change compare to the 12-month average?
February’s gain of 84,000 is below the 12-month average of 106,000, but marks a rebound from recent lows.
Why does the UK Employment Change matter for markets?
Employment Change is a key indicator of economic momentum, influencing central bank policy and market sentiment across asset classes.
UK employment growth remains positive, but momentum is below last year’s highs.
Updated 3/19/26
This has been drafted with AI assistance and then thoroughly reviewed, refined, and approved by our human editorial team to ensure accuracy, and originality.
Sigmanomics UK Employment Change Database, accessed 3/19/26
Office for National Statistics, UK Labour Market Overview, February 2026
Economic Calendar - UK Events
Wednesday, April 1, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
08:30
UK
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
51
51.7
51.4
51.50
Low
Tuesday, March 31, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
06:00
UK
Current Account
-18.4
-10.7
-23.4
-20.90
Medium
06:00
UK
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.08
Low
06:00
UK
GDP Growth Rate YoY
1
1.3
1
1.00
Low
06:00
UK
Business Investment QoQ
-2.5
1.1
-2.7
-3.45
Low
06:00
UK
Business Investment YoY
2
3.5
2
1.73
Low
06:00
UK
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.08
High
06:00
UK
Gross Domestic Product YoY
1
1.2
1
0.88
High
06:00
UK
Business Investment
-
2.5
2
2.00
Low
Monday, March 30, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
08:30
UK
BoE Consumer Credit
1.935
1.828
1.6
1.70
Medium
08:30
UK
M4 Money Supply MoM
0.6
-0.1
0.1
0.13
Low
08:30
UK
Mortgage Lending
4.84
4.21
4.1
4.20
Medium
08:30
UK
Net Lending to Individuals MoM
6.8
6
5.6
6.38
Low
08:30
UK
Mortgage Approvals
62.58
60.25
61.3
60.53
Medium
08:30
UK
Consumer Credit
-
1.812
1.3
1.30
Medium
08:30
UK
Net Lending to Individuals
6.8
5.9
5.6
5.75
Low
Friday, March 27, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
07:00
UK
Retail Sales MoM
-0.4
2
-0.7
-0.22
High
07:00
UK
Retail Sales YoY
2.5
4.8
2.1
2.48
High
07:00
UK
Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM
-0.4
2.2
-0.8
-0.23
High
07:00
UK
Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY
3.4
5.9
2.9
3.15
High
00:01
UK
Consumer Confidence
-21
-19
-24
-24.00
Medium
00:01
UK
Car Production YoY
-10.7
-8.2
8
4.47
Low
Wednesday, March 25, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
11:00
UK
CBI Distributive Trades
-
-43
-16
-25.50
Medium
09:30
UK
House Price Index YoY
1.3
1.9
1.7
1.77
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Output YoY
1.7
2.5
2.6
2.20
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Output MoM
-0.5
0
0.2
0.00
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Input YoY
0.5
-0.4
0.4
0.15
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Input MoM
0.8
0.3
0.5
0.65
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Core Output MoM
-0.8
0.2
0.1
-0.35
Low
07:00
UK
Retail Price Index YoY
3.6
3.8
3.7
3.65
Low
07:00
UK
Retail Price Index MoM
0.4
-0.5
0.5
0.38
Low
07:00
UK
Core Inflation Rate MoM
0.6
-0.6
0.5
0.53
Low
07:00
UK
Inflation Rate MoM
0.4
-0.5
0.4
0.38
Medium
07:00
UK
Core Inflation Rate YoY
3.2
3.1
3.1
3.15
Medium
07:00
UK
Inflation Rate YoY
3
3
3
3.00
High
07:00
UK
PPI Core Output YoY
1.9
2.9
3.2
2.55
Low
07:00
UK
CPI YoY
3
3
3
3.00
High
07:00
UK
CPI MoM
0.4
-0.5
0.4
0.40
Medium
Tuesday, March 24, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
11:00
UK
CBI Distributive Trades
-52
-43
-40
-49.50
Medium
09:30
UK
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
-
51.7
51.1
51.15
High
09:30
UK
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
-
53.9
51.8
51.95
High
09:30
UK
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash
-
53.7
52
52.30
Low
09:30
UK
S&P Global Composite PMI
51
53.7
52.9
52.65
Low
09:30
UK
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
51.4
51.7
50.1
50.20
High
09:30
UK
S&P Global Services PMI
51.2
53.9
53
52.77
High
Friday, March 20, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
11:00
UK
CBI Industrial Trends Orders
-27
-28
-29
-29.25
Medium
07:00
UK
Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks
-14.3
31.9
-8.5
-7.10
Low
Thursday, March 19, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
12:00
UK
BoE MPC Vote Cut
9
49
29
24.50
Medium
12:00
UK
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged
99
59
79
83.50
Medium
12:00
UK
BoE MPC Vote Hike
9
9
9
9.00
Medium
12:00
UK
BoE Interest Rate Decision
3.75
3.75
3.75
3.75
High
12:00
UK
Interest Rate Decision
3.75
3.75
3.75
3.75
High
07:00
UK
Employment Change
84
52
-4
43.83
High
07:00
UK
Claimant Count Change
24.7
4.7
25.8
26.28
Low
07:00
UK
Average Earnings excl. Bonus
3.8
4.1
4
3.95
Low
07:00
UK
Average Earnings incl. Bonus
3.9
4.2
3.9
3.90
Medium
07:00
UK
Unemployment Rate
5.2
5.2
5.3
5.30
High
07:00
UK
HMRC Payrolls Change
20
6
5
3.00
Low
Friday, March 13, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
07:00
UK
Industrial Production MoM
-0.1
-0.9
0.2
0.20
Medium
07:00
UK
Industrial Production YoY
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.83
Low
07:00
UK
Manufacturing Production YoY
1.3
0.5
1.5
1.75
Low
07:00
UK
Gross Domestic Product MoM
0
0.1
0.2
0.20
High
07:00
UK
Goods Trade Balance
-14.45
-22.72
-22.2
-21.09
Medium
07:00
UK
Gross Domestic Product YoY
0.8
0.7
0.9
0.78
Low
07:00
UK
Construction Output YoY
-0.2
-0.3
-0.1
-0.23
Low
07:00
UK
GDP 3-Month Avg
0.2
0.1
0.3
0.35
Medium
07:00
UK
Manufacturing Production MoM
0.1
-0.5
0.2
0.42
Medium
07:00
UK
Construction Output MoM
0.2
-0.5
0
-0.30
Low
07:00
UK
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.23
Medium
06:00
UK
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
-
0.1
0.2
0.23
Medium
06:00
UK
Construction Output MoM
-
-0.5
0
-0.30
Low
Thursday, March 12, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:01
UK
RICS House Price Balance
-12
-10
-9
-8.83
Medium
Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:01
UK
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY
0.7
2.3
2.4
2.35
Medium
Friday, March 6, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
10:00
UK
BBA Mortgage Rate
6.59
6.62
6.6
6.61
Low
07:00
UK
House Price Index YoY
1.3
1.1
1.1
1.17
Medium
07:00
UK
House Price Index MoM
0.3
0.8
-0.1
-0.12
Medium
Thursday, March 5, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
S&P Global Construction PMI
44.5
46.4
47
47.23
Medium
09:00
UK
New Car Sales YoY
7.2
3.4
1
3.08
Low
Wednesday, March 4, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
S&P Global Services PMI
53.9
54
53.9
53.67
Low
09:30
UK
S&P Global Composite PMI
53.7
53.7
53.9
53.65
Low
Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:01
UK
BRC Shop Price Index YoY
1.1
1.5
1.4
1.52
Low
Monday, March 2, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
Net Lending to Individuals MoM
5.9
6.1
3.8
4.58
Low
09:30
UK
BoE Consumer Credit
1.812
1.652
1.2
1.30
Medium
09:30
UK
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
51.7
51.8
52
52.10
Low
09:30
UK
Mortgage Lending
4.08
4.49
4.2
4.30
Medium
09:30
UK
M4 Money Supply MoM
-0.1
0.4
-0.2
-0.17
Low
09:30
UK
Mortgage Approvals
60
61.01
62.5
61.73
Medium
09:30
UK
Net Lending to Individuals
5.9
6.1
6.2
6.35
Low
07:00
UK
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.22
Medium
07:00
UK
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY
1
1
1.1
0.95
Medium
Friday, February 27, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:01
UK
Car Production YoY
-8.2
17.7
5.3
1.77
Low
00:01
UK
Consumer Confidence
-19
-16
-16
-16.00
Medium
Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
11:00
UK
CBI Distributive Trades
-
-17
-30
-39.50
Medium
Tuesday, February 24, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
11:00
UK
CBI Distributive Trades
-43
-17
-17
-26.50
Medium
Friday, February 20, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
11:00
UK
CBI Industrial Trends Orders
-
-30
-25
-25.25
Medium
09:30
UK
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
53.9
54
53.6
53.75
High
09:30
UK
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash
53.9
53.7
53.3
53.60
Low
09:30
UK
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
52
51.8
51.9
51.95
High
09:30
UK
S&P Global Composite PMI
53.9
53.7
53.3
53.05
Medium
09:30
UK
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
52
51.8
51.5
51.60
Medium
09:30
UK
S&P Global Services PMI
53.9
54
53.5
53.27
Medium
07:00
UK
Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks
30.4
-13.4
19
20.40
Low
07:00
UK
Retail Sales YoY
4.5
1.9
2.7
3.08
Medium
07:00
UK
Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM
2
0.3
0.1
0.67
Low
07:00
UK
Retail Sales MoM
1.8
0.4
0.2
0.68
High
Thursday, February 19, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
11:00
UK
CBI Industrial Trends Orders
-28
-30
-25
-25.25
Medium
Wednesday, February 18, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
House Price Index YoY
2.4
2.5
1.8
1.87
Low
07:00
UK
Inflation Rate YoY
3
3.4
3
3.00
High
07:00
UK
Inflation Rate MoM
-0.5
0.4
-0.4
-0.43
Medium
07:00
UK
Core Inflation Rate YoY
3.1
3.2
3
3.05
Medium
07:00
UK
Core Inflation Rate MoM
-0.6
0.3
-0.6
-0.57
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Input MoM
0.4
-0.5
0.1
0.25
Low
07:00
UK
Retail Price Index YoY
3.8
4.2
3.9
3.85
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Input YoY
-0.2
0.5
0.9
0.65
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Output MoM
0
-0.1
0.1
-0.10
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Output YoY
2.5
3.1
3.2
2.80
Low
07:00
UK
Retail Price Index MoM
-0.5
0.7
-0.1
-0.23
Low
07:00
UK
CPI
3
3.4
3
3.00
High
Tuesday, February 17, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
07:00
UK
Unemployment Rate
5.2
5.1
5.1
5.10
High
07:00
UK
Claimant Count Change
28.6
2.7
22
22.48
Low
07:00
UK
Employment Change
52
82
-40
7.83
Medium
07:00
UK
Average Earnings incl. Bonus
4.2
4.6
4.4
4.40
Medium
Friday, February 13, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:01
UK
RICS House Price Balance
-
-14
-12
-11.83
Medium
Thursday, February 12, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
07:00
UK
GDP Growth Rate QoQ
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.18
High
07:00
UK
Business Investment QoQ
-2.7
1.6
0.5
-0.25
Medium
07:00
UK
Gross Domestic Product MoM
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.10
High
07:00
UK
Manufacturing Production YoY
0.5
1.3
1.2
1.45
Low
07:00
UK
Gross Domestic Product YoY
0.7
1.2
1.3
1.18
Low
07:00
UK
Balance of Trade
-4.34
-11.33
-6
-6.24
Low
07:00
UK
Construction Output YoY
-0.3
-0.3
-0.8
-0.93
Low
07:00
UK
Industrial Production YoY
0.5
2.3
1.6
1.83
Low
07:00
UK
Industrial Production MoM
-0.9
1.3
-0.2
-0.20
Medium
07:00
UK
Business Investment YoY
2
2.5
3.1
2.83
Low
07:00
UK
Manufacturing Production MoM
-0.5
1.9
-0.3
-0.08
Medium
07:00
UK
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.23
Medium
07:00
UK
Construction Output MoM
-0.5
-0.8
0.5
0.20
Low
07:00
UK
Gross Domestic Product QoQ
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.18
High
00:01
UK
RICS House Price Balance
-10
-14
-12
-11.83
Medium
Tuesday, February 10, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:01
UK
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY
2.3
1
1.3
1.25
Medium
Saturday, February 7, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
07:00
UK
House Price Index YoY
1
0.3
0
0.07
Medium
07:00
UK
House Price Index MoM
0.7
-0.6
0.4
0.38
Medium
Friday, February 6, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
10:00
UK
BBA Mortgage Rate
6.62
6.77
6.7
6.71
Low
Thursday, February 5, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
12:00
UK
Interest Rate Decision
3.75
3.75
3.75
3.75
High
12:00
UK
BoE MPC Vote Unchanged
5
4
7
11.50
Medium
12:00
UK
BoE Interest Rate Decision
3.75
3.75
3.75
3.75
High
12:00
UK
BoE MPC Vote Hike
0
0
0
0.00
Medium
12:00
UK
BoE MPC Vote Cut
4
5
2
-2.50
Medium
09:30
UK
S&P Global Construction PMI
46.4
40.1
42.5
42.73
Medium
09:00
UK
New Car Sales YoY
3.4
3.9
2
4.08
Low
Wednesday, February 4, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
S&P Global Composite PMI
53.7
51.4
53.9
53.65
Low
09:30
UK
S&P Global Services PMI
54
51.4
54.3
54.07
Low
Monday, February 2, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
51.8
50.6
51.6
51.70
Low
07:00
UK
Nationwide Housing Prices MoM
0.3
-0.4
0.6
0.53
Medium
07:00
UK
Nationwide Housing Prices YoY
1
0.6
1.5
1.35
Medium
Friday, January 30, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
Mortgage Approvals
61.01
64.07
64.4
63.63
Medium
09:30
UK
BoE Consumer Credit
1.524
2.143
1.9
2.00
Medium
09:30
UK
M4 Money Supply MoM
0.3
0.8
0.7
0.73
Low
09:30
UK
Mortgage Lending
4.6
4.59
4.6
4.70
Medium
09:30
UK
Net Lending to Individuals
6.1
6.6
6.1
6.25
Low
Thursday, January 29, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:01
UK
Car Production YoY
17.7
-14.3
6.7
3.17
Low
Tuesday, January 27, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:01
UK
BRC Shop Price Index YoY
1.5
0.7
0.7
0.82
Low
Friday, January 23, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
S&P Global Composite PMI Flash
-
51.4
51.7
52.00
Low
09:30
UK
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash
-
50.6
50.8
50.85
High
09:30
UK
S&P Global Services PMI Flash
-
51.4
51.5
51.65
High
09:30
UK
S&P Global Services PMI
-
51.4
51.7
51.47
Medium
09:30
UK
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
-
50.6
50.6
50.70
Medium
07:00
UK
Retail Sales MoM
-
-0.1
-0.2
0.27
High
07:00
UK
Retail Sales YoY
-
0.6
0.8
1.18
High
07:00
UK
Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY
-
1.2
0.7
0.95
High
07:00
UK
Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM
-
-0.2
-0.3
0.27
High
00:01
UK
Consumer Confidence
-
-17
-17
-17.00
Medium
Thursday, January 22, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
11:00
UK
CBI Distributive Trades
-
-44
-57
-66.50
Medium
07:00
UK
Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks
-
-11.65
-15
-13.60
Low
07:00
UK
Public Sector Net Borrowing
-
-11.65
-13.5
-13.50
Low
Wednesday, January 21, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
11:00
UK
CBI Industrial Trends Orders
-
-32
-28
-28.25
Medium
11:00
UK
CBI Business Optimism Index
-
-31
-27
-27.00
Medium
09:30
UK
House Price Index YoY
-
1.7
1.8
1.87
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Core Output YoY
-
3.5
3.4
2.75
Low
07:00
UK
Core Inflation Rate MoM
-
-0.2
0.2
0.23
Low
07:00
UK
Core Inflation Rate YoY
-
3.2
3.1
3.15
Medium
07:00
UK
PPI Input YoY
-
1.1
1
0.75
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Output MoM
-
0.1
0.1
-0.10
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Core Output MoM
-
0
0.1
-0.35
Low
07:00
UK
Retail Price Index MoM
-
-0.4
0.2
0.08
Low
07:00
UK
PPI Output YoY
-
3.4
3.3
2.90
Low
07:00
UK
Retail Price Index YoY
-
3.8
3.7
3.65
Low
07:00
UK
Inflation Rate YoY
-
3.2
3.1
3.10
High
07:00
UK
PPI Input MoM
-
0.3
0.1
0.25
Low
07:00
UK
Inflation Rate MoM
-
-0.2
0.2
0.18
Medium
Tuesday, January 20, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
07:00
UK
Average Earnings incl. Bonus
4.7
4.7
4.5
4.50
Medium
07:00
UK
Average Earnings excl. Bonus
4.5
4.6
4.5
4.45
Low
07:00
UK
HMRC Payrolls Change
-43
-38
-20
-22.00
Low
07:00
UK
Employment Change
82
-16
-25
22.83
High
07:00
UK
Claimant Count Change
17.9
20.1
20.5
20.98
Low
07:00
UK
Unemployment Rate
5.1
5.1
5.1
5.10
High
Friday, January 16, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
13:00
UK
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
-
-0.1
-0.1
-0.07
Low
Thursday, January 15, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
13:00
UK
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
-
-0.1
-0.1
-0.07
Low
12:00
UK
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
-
-0.1
-0.1
-0.07
Low
07:00
UK
GDP 3-Month Avg
0.1
0
-0.2
-0.15
Medium
07:00
UK
Manufacturing Production MoM
2.1
0.4
0.5
0.72
Medium
07:00
UK
Gross Domestic Product MoM
0.3
-0.1
0.1
0.10
High
07:00
UK
Goods Trade Balance Non-EU
-11.46
-11.81
-9.1
-10.28
High
07:00
UK
Balance of Trade
-6.116
-6.531
-3.5
-3.74
Low
07:00
UK
Industrial Production MoM
1.1
1.3
0.1
0.10
Medium
07:00
UK
Industrial Production YoY
2.3
0.4
-0.4
-0.17
Low
07:00
UK
Manufacturing Production YoY
2.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.05
Low
07:00
UK
Goods Trade Balance
-23.71
-24.17
-20.4
-19.29
High
07:00
UK
Construction Output YoY
-1.1
0.9
0.1
-0.03
Low
07:00
UK
Gross Domestic Product YoY
1.4
1.1
1.1
0.98
High
07:00
UK
NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker
0.1
0
-0.2
-0.17
Medium
07:00
UK
Construction Output MoM
-1.3
-1.2
-0.3
-0.60
Low
00:01
UK
RICS House Price Balance
-14
-14
-16
-15.83
Medium
Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:01
UK
BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY
1
1.2
0.6
0.55
High
00:01
UK
Retail Sales YoY
-
1.2
0.6
0.98
Medium
Thursday, January 8, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
10:00
UK
BBA Mortgage Rate
6.77
6.81
6.6
6.61
Low
07:00
UK
House Price Index MoM
-0.6
-0.1
0.2
0.18
Medium
07:00
UK
House Price Index YoY
0.3
0.6
1.1
1.17
Medium
Wednesday, January 7, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
S&P Global Construction PMI
40.1
39.4
40.1
40.33
Medium
Tuesday, January 6, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
S&P Global Composite PMI
51.4
51.2
52.1
51.85
Low
09:30
UK
S&P Global Services PMI
51.4
51.3
52.1
51.87
Low
09:00
UK
New Car Sales YoY
3.9
-1.6
-1
1.08
Low
00:01
UK
Retail Sales YoY
0.7
1.2
0.6
0.98
Medium
Monday, January 5, 2026
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
09:30
UK
Mortgage Approvals
64.53
65.01
64.4
63.63
Medium
09:30
UK
BoE Consumer Credit
2.077
1.713
1.1
1.20
Medium
09:30
UK
Net Lending to Individuals MoM
6.6
5.9
5.2
5.98
Low
09:30
UK
M4 Money Supply MoM
0.8
-0.2
-0.1
-0.07
Low
09:30
UK
Mortgage Lending
4.49
4.16
4.5
4.60
Medium
09:30
UK
Net Lending to Individuals
6.6
5.4
5.2
5.35
Low
Sunday, January 1, 2023
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-3.3051524154312
-3.3051524154312
-3.3051524154312
-3.31
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
2.681
2.681
2.681
2.68
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
32.216200636096
32.216200636096
32.216200636096
32.22
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
68350000
68350000
68350000
68350000.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
31.662677125869
31.662677125869
31.662677125869
31.66
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
119.35372747864
119.35372747864
119.35372747864
119.35
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
138.19348984882
138.19348984882
138.19348984882
138.19
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
35193154
35193154
35193154
35193154.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
6.7939670679396
6.7939670679396
6.7939670679396
6.79
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
142.74089143703
142.74089143703
142.74089143703
142.74
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
4.025
4.025
4.025
4.03
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
3340032380668
3340032380668
3340032380668
3340032380668.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
0.10401784915928
0.10401784915928
0.10401784915928
0.10
Medium
Saturday, January 1, 2022
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-3.2515680999383
-3.2515680999383
-3.2515680999383
-3.25
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
2.359
2.359
2.359
2.36
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
35.313335666007
35.313335666007
35.313335666007
35.31
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
67791000
67791000
67791000
67791000.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
790311
790311
790311
790311.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
33.567194473779
33.567194473779
33.567194473779
33.57
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
128.55252554199
128.55252554199
128.55252554199
128.55
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
141.24439722802
141.24439722802
141.24439722802
141.24
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
34728540
34728540
34728540
34728540.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
7.922048831479
7.922048831479
7.922048831479
7.92
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
133.66007027927
133.66007027927
133.66007027927
133.66
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.57
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
3.768
3.768
3.768
3.77
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
3088839763445
3088839763445
3088839763445
3088839763445.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
4.3452288343657
4.3452288343657
4.3452288343657
4.35
Medium
Friday, January 1, 2021
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
8.6749041144257
8.6749041144257
8.6749041144257
8.67
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-0.47383556569651
-0.47383556569651
-0.47383556569651
-0.47
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
29.404261836002
29.404261836002
29.404261836002
29.40
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
3.278
3.278
3.278
3.28
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
3.171
3.171
3.171
3.17
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
67026292
67026292
67026292
67026292.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
766688
766688
766688
766688.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.35
2.35
2.35
2.35
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
29.180274787783
29.180274787783
29.180274787783
29.18
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
137.89927365013
137.89927365013
137.89927365013
137.90
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
186.79491555089
186.79491555089
186.79491555089
186.79
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
34238995
34238995
34238995
34238995.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
2.5183710961421
2.5183710961421
2.5183710961421
2.52
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
123.84871462918
123.84871462918
123.84871462918
123.85
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.56
1.56
1.56
1.56
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
4.865
4.865
4.865
4.87
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
3141506156618.7
3141506156618.7
3141506156618.7
3141506156618.70
Medium
Wednesday, January 1, 2020
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
-10.35990081878
-10.35990081878
-10.35990081878
-10.36
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1)
0.78294295072555
0.78294295072555
0.78294295072555
0.78
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-2.8992640801178
-2.8992640801178
-2.8992640801178
-2.90
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
29.111341839214
29.111341839214
29.111341839214
29.11
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
3.238
3.238
3.238
3.24
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
774854
774854
774854
774854.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
3.041
3.041
3.041
3.04
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
67081234
67081234
67081234
67081234.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.43
2.43
2.43
2.43
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
29.669795758089
29.669795758089
29.669795758089
29.67
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
146.47190425798
146.47190425798
146.47190425798
146.47
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
153000
153000
153000
153000.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
196.64057664277
196.64057664277
196.64057664277
196.64
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
34558338
34558338
34558338
34558338.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
0.98948670377249
0.98948670377249
0.98948670377249
0.99
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
120.80636212317
120.80636212317
120.80636212317
120.81
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.56
1.56
1.56
1.56
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
4.518
4.518
4.518
4.52
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
2697806592293.9
2697806592293.9
2697806592293.9
2697806592293.90
Medium
Tuesday, January 1, 2019
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
2851407164907.8
2851407164907.8
2851407164907.8
2851407164907.80
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
1.6416109962888
1.6416109962888
1.6416109962888
1.64
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-2.6851488847368
-2.6851488847368
-2.6851488847368
-2.69
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
33.030353356274
33.030353356274
33.030353356274
33.03
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
2.344
2.344
2.344
2.34
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
684874
684874
684874
684874.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
2.942
2.942
2.942
2.94
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
66836327
66836327
66836327
66836327.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.45
2.45
2.45
2.45
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
31.63478028095
31.63478028095
31.63478028095
31.63
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to start a business (days)
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
132.2873100705
132.2873100705
132.2873100705
132.29
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
149000
149000
149000
149000.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
160.32191827733
160.32191827733
160.32191827733
160.32
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to build a warehouse (days)
86
86
86
86.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
34633377
34633377
34633377
34633377.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
1.7381046008651
1.7381046008651
1.7381046008651
1.74
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
119.62271130017
119.62271130017
119.62271130017
119.62
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.63
1.63
1.63
1.63
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
3.657
3.657
3.657
3.66
Medium
Monday, January 1, 2018
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.68
1.68
1.68
1.68
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
4.145
4.145
4.145
4.14
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
2871340347581.8
2871340347581.8
2871340347581.8
2871340347581.80
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1)
0.77698224782944
0.77698224782944
0.77698224782944
0.78
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
1.4037920858857
1.4037920858857
1.4037920858857
1.40
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-3.9220651495307
-3.9220651495307
-3.9220651495307
-3.92
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
32.9625368907
32.9625368907
32.9625368907
32.96
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
2.595
2.595
2.595
2.60
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
664974
664974
664974
664974.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
2.834
2.834
2.834
2.83
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
66460344
66460344
66460344
66460344.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
31.580111359734
31.580111359734
31.580111359734
31.58
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to start a business (days)
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
133.70922509088
133.70922509088
133.70922509088
133.71
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to build a warehouse (days)
86
86
86
86.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
148450
148450
148450
148450.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
158.16278741293
158.16278741293
158.16278741293
158.16
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
34355301
34355301
34355301
34355301.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
2.2928399034594
2.2928399034594
2.2928399034594
2.29
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
117.57906417607
117.57906417607
117.57906417607
117.58
Medium
Sunday, January 1, 2017
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
114.94359164047
114.94359164047
114.94359164047
114.94
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.74
1.74
1.74
1.74
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
4.501
4.501
4.501
4.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
2680148052335.3
2680148052335.3
2680148052335.3
2680148052335.30
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Human Capital Index (HCI) (scale 0-1)
0.781
0.781
0.781
0.78
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
2.6550696681193
2.6550696681193
2.6550696681193
2.66
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-3.4978486899365
-3.4978486899365
-3.4978486899365
-3.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
32.231298998023
32.231298998023
32.231298998023
32.23
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
2.733
2.733
2.733
2.73
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
66058859
66058859
66058859
66058859.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
632517
632517
632517
632517.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
2.814
2.814
2.814
2.81
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
30.890351033046
30.890351033046
30.890351033046
30.89
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.54
2.54
2.54
2.54
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to start a business (days)
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
132.94002061002
132.94002061002
132.94002061002
132.94
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to build a warehouse (days)
86
86
86
86.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
148000
148000
148000
148000.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
161.26972526053
161.26972526053
161.26972526053
161.27
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
34068678
34068678
34068678
34068678.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
2.5577557755775
2.5577557755775
2.5577557755775
2.56
Medium
Friday, January 1, 2016
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
1.0084173681141
1.0084173681141
1.0084173681141
1.01
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
112.0769373035
112.0769373035
112.0769373035
112.08
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.79
1.79
1.79
1.79
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
4.909
4.909
4.909
4.91
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
2689106566899.6
2689106566899.6
2689106566899.6
2689106566899.60
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
1.9210634135702
1.9210634135702
1.9210634135702
1.92
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to start a business (days)
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-5.4987973430457
-5.4987973430457
-5.4987973430457
-5.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
2.76
2.76
2.76
2.76
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
30.798058891017
30.798058891017
30.798058891017
30.80
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
65611593
65611593
65611593
65611593.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
663616
663616
663616
663616.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
2.783
2.783
2.783
2.78
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
28.902339523359
28.902339523359
28.902339523359
28.90
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.57
2.57
2.57
2.57
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
132.16024944204
132.16024944204
132.16024944204
132.16
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to build a warehouse (days)
86
86
86
86.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
150250
150250
150250
150250.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
156.60446515318
156.60446515318
156.60446515318
156.60
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
33877837
33877837
33877837
33877837.00
Medium
Thursday, January 1, 2015
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
0.36804684232536
0.36804684232536
0.36804684232536
0.37
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
110.95801738487
110.95801738487
110.95801738487
110.96
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
5.552
5.552
5.552
5.55
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.8
1.8
1.8
1.80
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
2927911140916.7
2927911140916.7
2927911140916.7
2927911140916.70
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.61
2.61
2.61
2.61
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
2.2202583222271
2.2202583222271
2.2202583222271
2.22
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to start a business (days)
4.5
4.5
4.5
4.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-4.9466770113636
-4.9466770113636
-4.9466770113636
-4.95
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
2.906
2.906
2.906
2.91
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
29.357599020272
29.357599020272
29.357599020272
29.36
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
65116219
65116219
65116219
65116219.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
611478
611478
611478
611478.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
2.773
2.773
2.773
2.77
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
27.845950666101
27.845950666101
27.845950666101
27.85
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
130.82291172589
130.82291172589
130.82291172589
130.82
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to build a warehouse (days)
86
86
86
86.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
152350
152350
152350
152350.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
147.94941274262
147.94941274262
147.94941274262
147.95
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
33548990
33548990
33548990
33548990.00
Medium
Wednesday, January 1, 2014
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
33265645
33265645
33265645
33265645.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Real interest rate (%)
-0.80714187384277
-0.80714187384277
-0.80714187384277
-0.81
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
1.4511201629328
1.4511201629328
1.4511201629328
1.45
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
110.55113741446
110.55113741446
110.55113741446
110.55
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
6.398
6.398
6.398
6.40
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.81
1.81
1.81
1.81
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
3064708247921.4
3064708247921.4
3064708247921.4
3064708247921.40
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.72
2.72
2.72
2.72
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
3.1957824656192
3.1957824656192
3.1957824656192
3.20
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to start a business (days)
6
6
6
6.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Lending interest rate (%)
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-5.0114170679571
-5.0114170679571
-5.0114170679571
-5.01
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
3.149
3.149
3.149
3.15
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
30.518589390469
30.518589390469
30.518589390469
30.52
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
64602298
64602298
64602298
64602298.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
585672
585672
585672
585672.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
2.742
2.742
2.742
2.74
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
28.576214729124
28.576214729124
28.576214729124
28.58
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
135.50779369712
135.50779369712
135.50779369712
135.51
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to build a warehouse (days)
86
86
86
86.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
154700
154700
154700
154700.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
150.591619714
150.591619714
150.591619714
150.59
Medium
Tuesday, January 1, 2013
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to build a warehouse (days)
86
86
86
86.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
159150
159150
159150
159150.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
141.64332777017
141.64332777017
141.64332777017
141.64
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
33002985
33002985
33002985
33002985.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Real interest rate (%)
-1.5835394321723
-1.5835394321723
-1.5835394321723
-1.58
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
2.2916666666666
2.2916666666666
2.2916666666666
2.29
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
108.9698538931
108.9698538931
108.9698538931
108.97
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
7.752
7.752
7.752
7.75
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.83
1.83
1.83
1.83
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
2784853502534.3
2784853502534.3
2784853502534.3
2784853502534.30
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.75
2.75
2.75
2.75
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to start a business (days)
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
1.7923222159081
1.7923222159081
1.7923222159081
1.79
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Lending interest rate (%)
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-4.6511937311768
-4.6511937311768
-4.6511937311768
-4.65
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
3.789
3.789
3.789
3.79
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
31.709687143706
31.709687143706
31.709687143706
31.71
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
64128273
64128273
64128273
64128273.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
522439
522439
522439
522439.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
2.706
2.706
2.706
2.71
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
30.289424771284
30.289424771284
30.289424771284
30.29
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
149.53802177099
149.53802177099
149.53802177099
149.54
Medium
Sunday, January 1, 2012
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to build a warehouse (days)
86
86
86
86.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
169150
169150
169150
169150.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
147.05368162151
147.05368162151
147.05368162151
147.05
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
32729366
32729366
32729366
32729366.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Real interest rate (%)
-1.0230607320537
-1.0230607320537
-1.0230607320537
-1.02
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
2.5732347965453
2.5732347965453
2.5732347965453
2.57
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
106.52857407065
106.52857407065
106.52857407065
106.53
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.92
1.92
1.92
1.92
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
8.279
8.279
8.279
8.28
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
2707089726614.6
2707089726614.6
2707089726614.6
2707089726614.60
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.80
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to start a business (days)
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
1.5129367492999
1.5129367492999
1.5129367492999
1.51
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Lending interest rate (%)
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-3.1471891467013
-3.1471891467013
-3.1471891467013
-3.15
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
4.279
4.279
4.279
4.28
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Imports of goods and services (% of GDP)
31.607414301678
31.607414301678
31.607414301678
31.61
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Population, total
63700215
63700215
63700215
63700215.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
New businesses registered (number)
492754
492754
492754
492754.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Physicians (per 1,000 people)
2.697
2.697
2.697
2.70
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Exports of goods and services (% of GDP)
30.61856843174
30.61856843174
30.61856843174
30.62
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
160.63225902242
160.63225902242
160.63225902242
160.63
Medium
Saturday, January 1, 2011
Actual
Previous
Consensus
Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast
Impact
00:00
GBRGBR
Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP)
170.28598759406
170.28598759406
170.28598759406
170.29
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to build a warehouse (days)
86
86
86
86.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Armed forces personnel, total
165650
165650
165650
165650.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Central government debt, total (% of GDP)
143.75901454959
143.75901454959
143.75901454959
143.76
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Labor force, total
32432639
32432639
32432639
32432639.00
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Real interest rate (%)
-1.6529975510174
-1.6529975510174
-1.6529975510174
-1.65
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
3.8561124468282
3.8561124468282
3.8561124468282
3.86
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Consumer price index (2010 = 100)
103.85611244683
103.85611244683
103.85611244683
103.86
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Fertility rate, total (births per woman)
1.91
1.91
1.91
1.91
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate)
8.195
8.195
8.195
8.20
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP (current US$)
2663805834828.1
2663805834828.1
2663805834828.1
2663805834828.10
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
2.88
2.88
2.88
2.88
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Time required to start a business (days)
11.5
11.5
11.5
11.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
GDP growth (annual %)
1.1451015409866
1.1451015409866
1.1451015409866
1.15
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Lending interest rate (%)
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.50
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Current account balance (% of GDP)
-1.6309700887719
-1.6309700887719
-1.6309700887719
-1.63
Medium
00:00
GBRGBR
Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education)
February’s employment change of 84,000 compares to January’s 52,000 and a 12-month average of 106,000. The current print marks the second consecutive monthly gain, following a period of volatility in late 2025.
August’s 238,000 surge remains the recent high, while November’s -22,000 was the low point. The latest data suggests the labour market is regaining momentum, though not at last summer’s pace.