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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom Employment Change - Adjusted held to -82.0 in September 2023
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2023
United Kingdom Employment Change - Adjusted held to -82.0 in September 2023, released October 2023.
Latest Release
-82.000000
Actual
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Consensus
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Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Employment Change - Adjusted (United Kingdom) was reported at -82.00 in September 2023. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (Jul 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2023.
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Employment Change - Adjusted - UK
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About Employment Change - Adjusted — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
Employment Change - Adjusted is a key financial indicator that measures the net change in the number of employed individuals in a given period, after adjusting for seasonal variations. This indicator provides valuable insights into the overall health of the job market and can help businesses and policymakers make informed decisions. A positive change indicates an increase in employment, while a negative change suggests a decline. It is an important tool for analyzing economic trends and forecasting future job growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2023): actual -82.
WHAT'S NEXT
This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Tuesday, July 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 6.7 | 1.3 | 29.4 | 18.05 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | -16 | -23.3 | -19.8 | -19.40 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -4 | 3 | 20 | 8.00 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Employment Change | 147 | 99 | 85 | 116.00 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.40 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 4.9 | 5 | 4.95 | High |