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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom S&P Global Composite PMI climbed to 52.5 Points in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
United Kingdom S&P Global Composite PMI climbed to 52.5 Points in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.3 Points from July's 52.2 Points reading. The reading matched the 52.5 Points consensus.
Latest Release
52.500000
Actual
52.500000
Consensus
52.200000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.57
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 52.78
Actual: 52.5
Error: +0.27
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.49 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Composite PMI (United Kingdom) was reported at 52.50 Points in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of 52.50 Points exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 52.20 Points. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 51.56 Points, ranging from 48.50 Points to 53.90 Points across 19 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 52.40 Points, up from the prior three at 50.40 Points. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.41 Points) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.43 Points). In September readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Composite PMI has averaged 52.74 Points.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.57 Points.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Sep 16) and Inflation Rate MoM (Sep 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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S&P Global Composite PMI - UK
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About S&P Global Composite PMI — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Composite PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the overall economic health of a country by combining the manufacturing and services sectors. It provides valuable insights into the current state of the economy, as well as future trends, and is used by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions. With its comprehensive and timely data, the S&P Global Composite PMI is a crucial tool for understanding the performance of the global economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 52.5 Points, consensus 52.5 Points. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 52.5 Points. Before that (Jul 2026): 52.2 Points.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.49) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -26 | -19 | -4 | 11.00 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 27.8 | -11.8 | 8.3 | 14.53 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Employment Change | 67 | 83 | 70 | 75.50 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.55 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 4.00 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 4.9 | 5 | 4.95 | High |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 2 | 2.1 | 2.60 | Low | |
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 69 | 69 | 69.00 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 39 | 39 | 39.00 | Medium | |
| 11:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | |