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Data from U.K. Office for National Statistics. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom Unemployment Rate climbed to 5.0% in March 2026
U.K. Office for National StatisticsMonthlyReleased May 2026
United Kingdom Unemployment Rate climbed to 5.0% in March 2026, released May 2026, up 0.1% from February's 4.9% reading. The reading matched expectations. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 0.5%. Over the past 3 months, Unemployment Rate averaged 5.05%, vs 5.13% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 79th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
5
Actual
4.9
Consensus
4.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.04 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 5.33
Actual: 5.2
Error: +0.13
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.75 | INDEX | Bullish FTSE 100 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.70 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | INDEX | Bullish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.51 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The May 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 4.9. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.04. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100) and negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
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Unemployment Rate - UK
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