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GDP YoY fell to 1.0 in November 2024, down 0.1 from October's 1.1 reading. The reading missed the 1.3 consensus by 0.3. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.63. Over the past 3 months, GDP YoY averaged 1.15, vs 0.97 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 77th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
The January 2025 reading fell from the previous value of 1.1. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP) and negatively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bearish EUR).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:01 | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | -3.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.00 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.30 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 25 | -20 | -20.00 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 23:01 | RICS House Price Balance | -23 | -25 | -24.00 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Balance of Trade | -0.72 | -3.4 | -2.57 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.55 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Business Investment YoY | 2 | 2.8 | 2.25 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Manufacturing Production YoY | -0.5 | 0 | -0.35 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 0.80 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Business Investment QoQ | -2.5 | 1.1 | -0.50 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Goods Trade Balance | -18.79 | -20.1 | -20.10 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Industrial Production MoM | 0.5 | -0.4 | -0.75 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.30 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Construction Orders YoY | 28.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Construction Output YoY | -1 | -2.4 | -2.15 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -7.1 | -9 | -9.00 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.5 | -0.2 | -0.20 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Industrial Production YoY | -0.4 | 0.1 | -0.45 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.55 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Construction Output MoM | 1 | -0.5 | -1.00 | Low | ||