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United Kingdom Employment Change - Adjusted held to -82.0 in September 2023, released October 2023.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| GBP/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | INDEX | Bullish UK | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Employment Change - Adjusted (United Kingdom) was reported at -82.00 in September 2023. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, negatively correlated (Bearish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Employment Change (Jun 18) and Unemployment Rate (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2023.
Employment Change - Adjusted is a key financial indicator that measures the net change in the number of employed individuals in a given period, after adjusting for seasonal variations. This indicator provides valuable insights into the overall health of the job market and can help businesses and policymakers make informed decisions. A positive change indicates an increase in employment, while a negative change suggests a decline. It is an important tool for analyzing economic trends and forecasting future job growth.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jul 2023): actual -82.
This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
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| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output YoY | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | 4.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input YoY | 8.7 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 8.75 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Output MoM | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.1 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.20 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | PPI Input MoM | 0.2 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 06:00 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 06:00 | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3 | 2.90 | High | |
| 06:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.8 | 3 | 2.90 | High | |
| 08:30 | House Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 0 | 2.8 | 3.30 | Low | |
| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Employment Change | 148 | 75 | 119.00 | Medium | ||
| 06:00 | Claimant Count Change | 26.5 | 25.8 | 25.25 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.20 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | HMRC Payrolls Change | -100 | -80 | -72.50 | Low | ||
| 06:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5 | 5 | 4.95 | High | ||
| 06:00 | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.1 | 4 | 4.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 19 | 29 | 29.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 89 | 79 | 89.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 9 | -1.00 | Medium | ||
| 11:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High | ||
| 23:01 | Consumer Confidence | -23 | -24 | -24.00 | Medium | ||
| Friday, June 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | Retail Sales MoM | -1.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||