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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
JapanJapan 3-Month Bill Auction climbed to 1.27% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Japan 3-Month Bill Auction climbed to 1.27% in October 2026, up 0.0% from September's 1.27% reading.
Latest Release
1.271000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.268000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
3-Month Bill Auction (Japan) was reported at 1.27% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.27%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.89%, ranging from 0.45% to 1.28% across 44 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.27%, up from the prior three at 1.27%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.23%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.12%). In October readings over the past 3 years, 3-Month Bill Auction has averaged 0.63%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC JPY speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Retail Sales YoY (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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3-Month Bill Auction - JP
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About 3-Month Bill Auction — Japan
DEFINITION
The 3-Month Bill Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities. It is a highly anticipated event in the financial market as it provides insight into the current economic conditions and investor sentiment. The auction involves the sale of 3-month Treasury bills to investors, with the interest rate determined by competitive bidding. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the government's ability to borrow money and the overall health of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 1.271 %. Prior reading (Oct 2026): 1.268 %. Before that (Oct 2026): 1.28 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - JP Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | JP | Consumer Confidence | 35 | 35.4 | 35.1 | 35.05 | High |
| 23:30 | JP | Jobs/applications ratio | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.19 | Low |
| 23:30 | JP | Unemployment Rate | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.45 | Medium |
| 23:30 | JP | Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Low |
| 23:30 | JP | Tokyo CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.05 | Low |
| 23:30 | JP | Tokyo Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.60 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Industrial Production YoY | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.50 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Retail Sales MoM | -0.7 | -0.9 | 0.6 | -0.05 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Retail Sales YoY | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 2.80 | Medium |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | JP | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | High |
| 05:00 | JP | Housing Starts YoY | -2.7 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Medium |
| 05:00 | JP | Construction Orders YoY | -11.1 | -3.6 | -3 | -2.70 | Low |