Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
JapanJapan CB Leading Index climbed to 118.0% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Japan CB Leading Index climbed to 118.0% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 0.4% from July's 117.6% reading. The reading matched the 118.0% consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 11.0%. Over the past 3 months, CB Leading Index averaged 117.3%, vs 115.63% in the prior 3-month window. CB Leading Index is now the highest in 18 months.
Latest Release
118
Actual
118
Consensus
117.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.16 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 117.95
Actual: 118
Error: -0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CB Leading Index (Japan) was reported at 118% in October 2026. This matched the market consensus of 118% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 117.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 113.67%, ranging from 108% to 118% across 22 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 117.9%, up from the prior three at 116.93%. Volatility over the past year (σ 3.37%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.55%). In October readings over the past 3 years, CB Leading Index has averaged 112.6%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.16%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC JPY speculative net positions (Oct 30) and Retail Sales YoY (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
CB Leading Index - JP
Loading chart data...
About CB Leading Index — Japan
DEFINITION
The CB Leading Index is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the overall economic health and potential future performance of a country's economy. It is based on a composite of various economic factors, such as stock prices, consumer expectations, and interest rates, and is used by investors and policymakers to make informed decisions about the direction of the economy. The CB Leading Index provides valuable insights into the current and future state of the economy, making it a crucial tool for assessing market trends and making strategic financial decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 118 %, consensus 118 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 118 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 117.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.64) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - JP Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | JP | Consumer Confidence | 35 | 35.4 | 35.1 | 35.05 | High |
| 23:30 | JP | Jobs/applications ratio | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.19 | Low |
| 23:30 | JP | Unemployment Rate | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.45 | Medium |
| 23:30 | JP | Tokyo CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Low |
| 23:30 | JP | Tokyo CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.05 | Low |
| 23:30 | JP | Tokyo Core CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.60 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Industrial Production MoM | 2.2 | -2.4 | 1.3 | 1.75 | Medium |
| 23:50 | JP | Industrial Production YoY | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.50 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Retail Sales MoM | -0.7 | -0.9 | 0.6 | -0.05 | Low |
| 23:50 | JP | Retail Sales YoY | 2.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 2.80 | Medium |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:00 | JP | BoJ Interest Rate Decision | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | High |
| 05:00 | JP | Housing Starts YoY | -2.7 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 2.95 | Medium |
| 05:00 | JP | Construction Orders YoY | -11.1 | -3.6 | -3 | -2.70 | Low |